Canada’s federal government has implemented sharp reductions in temporary resident arrivals through the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, capping new students and workers at 385,000 for the year while holding permanent resident admissions steady at 380,000. These measures, aimed at lowering the non-permanent resident share of the population below 5 percent by late 2027, have produced consecutive quarterly population declines in late 2025 and early 2026, according to Statistics Canada data. Outflows of temporary residents, elevated emigration of citizens and permanent residents, and flat or negative natural increase have offset new permanent admissions. Parliamentary Budget Office projections indicate overall population growth will remain near zero for 2026, reinforcing trader expectations of a net annual decline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUp
17% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Apr 29, 2027
Up
17% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Apr 29, 2027
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada’s federal government has implemented sharp reductions in temporary resident arrivals through the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, capping new students and workers at 385,000 for the year while holding permanent resident admissions steady at 380,000. These measures, aimed at lowering the non-permanent resident share of the population below 5 percent by late 2027, have produced consecutive quarterly population declines in late 2025 and early 2026, according to Statistics Canada data. Outflows of temporary residents, elevated emigration of citizens and permanent residents, and flat or negative natural increase have offset new permanent admissions. Parliamentary Budget Office projections indicate overall population growth will remain near zero for 2026, reinforcing trader expectations of a net annual decline.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,198Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada’s federal government has implemented sharp reductions in temporary resident arrivals through the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, capping new students and workers at 385,000 for the year while holding permanent resident admissions steady at 380,000. These measures, aimed at lowering the non-permanent resident share of the population below 5 percent by late 2027, have produced consecutive quarterly population declines in late 2025 and early 2026, according to Statistics Canada data. Outflows of temporary residents, elevated emigration of citizens and permanent residents, and flat or negative natural increase have offset new permanent admissions. Parliamentary Budget Office projections indicate overall population growth will remain near zero for 2026, reinforcing trader expectations of a net annual decline.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$2,198Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Canada’s federal government has implemented sharp reductions in temporary resident arrivals through the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, capping new students and workers at 385,000 for the year while holding permanent resident admissions steady at 380,000. These measures, aimed at lowering the non-permanent resident share of the population below 5 percent by late 2027, have produced consecutive quarterly population declines in late 2025 and early 2026, according to Statistics Canada data. Outflows of temporary residents, elevated emigration of citizens and permanent residents, and flat or negative natural increase have offset new permanent admissions. Parliamentary Budget Office projections indicate overall population growth will remain near zero for 2026, reinforcing trader expectations of a net annual decline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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