Current ensemble model guidance from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicates Tel Aviv will likely see maximum temperatures of 33–35°C on August 3 under a strong subtropical high-pressure system promoting clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 34°C (60.5%) and 35°C (21%), reflecting typical early-August climatology where daily highs average near 31–32°C but can edge higher with stable atmospheric conditions and low humidity. Recent short-range updates show little deviation from these projections, with no significant cooling advection or marine influence expected to suppress peaks below 33°C. Traders’ skin-in-the-game consensus thus favors outcomes near the upper end of the normal range absent any abrupt model shifts before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 3?
34°C 61%
35°C 21%
33°C 20%
32°C 4%
31°C or below
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
20%
34°C
61%
35°C
21%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 61%
35°C 21%
33°C 20%
32°C 4%
31°C or below
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
20%
34°C
61%
35°C
21%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble model guidance from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicates Tel Aviv will likely see maximum temperatures of 33–35°C on August 3 under a strong subtropical high-pressure system promoting clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 34°C (60.5%) and 35°C (21%), reflecting typical early-August climatology where daily highs average near 31–32°C but can edge higher with stable atmospheric conditions and low humidity. Recent short-range updates show little deviation from these projections, with no significant cooling advection or marine influence expected to suppress peaks below 33°C. Traders’ skin-in-the-game consensus thus favors outcomes near the upper end of the normal range absent any abrupt model shifts before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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