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Hot 100 predictions & odds

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Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

90%

Mariah Carey

$139K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 9

Billboard Hot 100 #1 Song Week of May 9

97%

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

$1.6K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

How many spots will Drake have in the Billboard top 10?

How many spots will Drake have in the Billboard top 10?

33%

6

$1.0K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 29 days

Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of May 9

Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of May 9

99%

The Great Divide - Noah Kahan

$5.4K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

What will Trump post this week? (April 27 - May 3)

What will Trump post this week? (April 27 - May 3)

78%

Midterm

$2.2K Vol.

$748 Liq.

Ends in 2 days

What will be said on ICEMAN?

What will be said on ICEMAN?

84%

Daddy

$43.0K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

8

Ends in 14 days

Spotify Monthly Active Users above __ in Q1?

Spotify Monthly Active Users above __ in Q1?

99%

790M

$3.8K Vol.

$449 Liq.

1

How many weeks will ICEMAN be No.1 on the Billboard 200?

How many weeks will ICEMAN be No.1 on the Billboard 200?

49%

4+

$13.5K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

How many albums will reach Billboard #1 in 2026?

How many albums will reach Billboard #1 in 2026?

50%

16–18

$7.6K Vol.

$108 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

White House # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

White House # posts April 24 - May 1, 2026?

72%

180-199

$77.8K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?

Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?

97%

$6.6K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (Apr 27 - May 3)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (Apr 27 - May 3)

100%

Powell

$23.9K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

3

Ends in 2 days

Match Payers above ___ in Q1?

Match Payers above ___ in Q1?

51%

13.6 million

$218 Vol.

$55 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?

GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?

4%

↑ $2.75

$565K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

What will Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) hit Week of April 20 2026?

What will Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) hit Week of April 20 2026?

-

$6.4K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

100%

Silver

$37.6K Vol.

$17.4K Liq.

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

95%

↓ 0.0014

$106K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

White House # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

White House # posts May 1 - May 8, 2026?

31%

200+

$2.7K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

83%

$134K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

#1 song on US Spotify this week? (May 1)

#1 song on US Spotify this week? (May 1)

50%

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

$3.4K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends in about 11 hours

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Hot 100 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑ $2.40. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Hot 100 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.