Xi Jinping’s extensive purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including the early-2026 investigation of Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia, have reinforced centralized command and removed potential sources of factional resistance. No verified challenges to party leadership or organized dissent within elite institutions have surfaced in 2026, consistent with the pattern of tight control over military appointments and information flows. The remaining months before 2027 offer limited window for coordinated action, and traders price the absence of credible signals or leaks accordingly. Rare shifts could still arise from undisclosed leadership health events, acute economic disruption prompting elite realignment, or sudden external shocks that expose command fractures, though such catalysts remain unobserved.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$153,410 Vol.
$153,410 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$153,410 Vol.
$153,410 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extensive purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including the early-2026 investigation of Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia, have reinforced centralized command and removed potential sources of factional resistance. No verified challenges to party leadership or organized dissent within elite institutions have surfaced in 2026, consistent with the pattern of tight control over military appointments and information flows. The remaining months before 2027 offer limited window for coordinated action, and traders price the absence of credible signals or leaks accordingly. Rare shifts could still arise from undisclosed leadership health events, acute economic disruption prompting elite realignment, or sudden external shocks that expose command fractures, though such catalysts remain unobserved.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$153,410Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extensive purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including the early-2026 investigation of Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia, have reinforced centralized command and removed potential sources of factional resistance. No verified challenges to party leadership or organized dissent within elite institutions have surfaced in 2026, consistent with the pattern of tight control over military appointments and information flows. The remaining months before 2027 offer limited window for coordinated action, and traders price the absence of credible signals or leaks accordingly. Rare shifts could still arise from undisclosed leadership health events, acute economic disruption prompting elite realignment, or sudden external shocks that expose command fractures, though such catalysts remain unobserved.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$153,410Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s extensive purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers, including the early-2026 investigation of Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia, have reinforced centralized command and removed potential sources of factional resistance. No verified challenges to party leadership or organized dissent within elite institutions have surfaced in 2026, consistent with the pattern of tight control over military appointments and information flows. The remaining months before 2027 offer limited window for coordinated action, and traders price the absence of credible signals or leaks accordingly. Rare shifts could still arise from undisclosed leadership health events, acute economic disruption prompting elite realignment, or sudden external shocks that expose command fractures, though such catalysts remain unobserved.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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