Xi Jinping’s consolidation of power through sustained anti-corruption purges in the People’s Liberation Army explains the overwhelming trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. The January 2026 investigations of senior Central Military Commission figures such as Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli removed key uniformed leaders and left the commission heavily depleted, yet official announcements framed the moves as disciplinary actions rather than responses to organized resistance. No verified reports of plots, troop movements, or elite challenges have emerged since, consistent with the Chinese Communist Party’s layered controls over military command, personnel, and intelligence. While late-breaking leadership health events, severe economic shocks, or undetected factional realignments could theoretically alter conditions, such developments remain outside the current evidence base through mid-2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$133,735 Vol.
$133,735 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$133,735 Vol.
$133,735 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s consolidation of power through sustained anti-corruption purges in the People’s Liberation Army explains the overwhelming trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. The January 2026 investigations of senior Central Military Commission figures such as Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli removed key uniformed leaders and left the commission heavily depleted, yet official announcements framed the moves as disciplinary actions rather than responses to organized resistance. No verified reports of plots, troop movements, or elite challenges have emerged since, consistent with the Chinese Communist Party’s layered controls over military command, personnel, and intelligence. While late-breaking leadership health events, severe economic shocks, or undetected factional realignments could theoretically alter conditions, such developments remain outside the current evidence base through mid-2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$133,735Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s consolidation of power through sustained anti-corruption purges in the People’s Liberation Army explains the overwhelming trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. The January 2026 investigations of senior Central Military Commission figures such as Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli removed key uniformed leaders and left the commission heavily depleted, yet official announcements framed the moves as disciplinary actions rather than responses to organized resistance. No verified reports of plots, troop movements, or elite challenges have emerged since, consistent with the Chinese Communist Party’s layered controls over military command, personnel, and intelligence. While late-breaking leadership health events, severe economic shocks, or undetected factional realignments could theoretically alter conditions, such developments remain outside the current evidence base through mid-2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$133,735Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s consolidation of power through sustained anti-corruption purges in the People’s Liberation Army explains the overwhelming trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. The January 2026 investigations of senior Central Military Commission figures such as Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli removed key uniformed leaders and left the commission heavily depleted, yet official announcements framed the moves as disciplinary actions rather than responses to organized resistance. No verified reports of plots, troop movements, or elite challenges have emerged since, consistent with the Chinese Communist Party’s layered controls over military command, personnel, and intelligence. While late-breaking leadership health events, severe economic shocks, or undetected factional realignments could theoretically alter conditions, such developments remain outside the current evidence base through mid-2026.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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