Xi Jinping’s extensive consolidation of power within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing high-level purges, including the January 2026 investigation into senior General Zhang Youxia for discipline violations, have reinforced centralized command and eliminated potential rivals without triggering organized resistance. China’s Leninist party structures, pervasive surveillance, and loyalty mechanisms make coordinated challenges exceptionally difficult. While unverified rumors of internal friction surfaced earlier in 2026, they produced no widely reported events meeting market criteria. Remaining tail risks include abrupt elite fractures or health-related leadership transitions that could destabilize the system before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$133,762 Vol.
$133,762 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$133,762 Vol.
$133,762 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extensive consolidation of power within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing high-level purges, including the January 2026 investigation into senior General Zhang Youxia for discipline violations, have reinforced centralized command and eliminated potential rivals without triggering organized resistance. China’s Leninist party structures, pervasive surveillance, and loyalty mechanisms make coordinated challenges exceptionally difficult. While unverified rumors of internal friction surfaced earlier in 2026, they produced no widely reported events meeting market criteria. Remaining tail risks include abrupt elite fractures or health-related leadership transitions that could destabilize the system before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$133,762Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extensive consolidation of power within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing high-level purges, including the January 2026 investigation into senior General Zhang Youxia for discipline violations, have reinforced centralized command and eliminated potential rivals without triggering organized resistance. China’s Leninist party structures, pervasive surveillance, and loyalty mechanisms make coordinated challenges exceptionally difficult. While unverified rumors of internal friction surfaced earlier in 2026, they produced no widely reported events meeting market criteria. Remaining tail risks include abrupt elite fractures or health-related leadership transitions that could destabilize the system before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$133,762Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s extensive consolidation of power within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing high-level purges, including the January 2026 investigation into senior General Zhang Youxia for discipline violations, have reinforced centralized command and eliminated potential rivals without triggering organized resistance. China’s Leninist party structures, pervasive surveillance, and loyalty mechanisms make coordinated challenges exceptionally difficult. While unverified rumors of internal friction surfaced earlier in 2026, they produced no widely reported events meeting market criteria. Remaining tail risks include abrupt elite fractures or health-related leadership transitions that could destabilize the system before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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