Xi Jinping’s extensive consolidation of power within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins the 97% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing emphasis on party discipline, loyalty vetting, and centralized command has produced no subsequent signs of elite division or military unrest through mid-2026, following January purges of senior generals including Zhang Youxia. These moves have further centralized authority and reinforced institutional barriers to coordinated challenges. While unforeseen developments such as a sudden leadership health event, acute economic disruption, or external shock could theoretically create openings, the absence of visible factional fractures or independent military commands continues to sustain the strong market positioning for no attempt.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$133,621 Vol.
$133,621 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
$133,621 Vol.
$133,621 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extensive consolidation of power within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins the 97% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing emphasis on party discipline, loyalty vetting, and centralized command has produced no subsequent signs of elite division or military unrest through mid-2026, following January purges of senior generals including Zhang Youxia. These moves have further centralized authority and reinforced institutional barriers to coordinated challenges. While unforeseen developments such as a sudden leadership health event, acute economic disruption, or external shock could theoretically create openings, the absence of visible factional fractures or independent military commands continues to sustain the strong market positioning for no attempt.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$133,621Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extensive consolidation of power within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins the 97% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing emphasis on party discipline, loyalty vetting, and centralized command has produced no subsequent signs of elite division or military unrest through mid-2026, following January purges of senior generals including Zhang Youxia. These moves have further centralized authority and reinforced institutional barriers to coordinated challenges. While unforeseen developments such as a sudden leadership health event, acute economic disruption, or external shock could theoretically create openings, the absence of visible factional fractures or independent military commands continues to sustain the strong market positioning for no attempt.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$133,621Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s extensive consolidation of power within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins the 97% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing emphasis on party discipline, loyalty vetting, and centralized command has produced no subsequent signs of elite division or military unrest through mid-2026, following January purges of senior generals including Zhang Youxia. These moves have further centralized authority and reinforced institutional barriers to coordinated challenges. While unforeseen developments such as a sudden leadership health event, acute economic disruption, or external shock could theoretically create openings, the absence of visible factional fractures or independent military commands continues to sustain the strong market positioning for no attempt.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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