Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of global forecast models around 11–13°C for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on April 13, driven by the latest Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) projection of a 12°C maximum under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows minor divergences, with 12°C leading due to consensus on cold air advection suppressing daytime heating, while 13°C gains from potential afternoon cloud breaks and 11°C from risks of increased showers as hinted in BBC updates. April climatology averages 17°C highs, but current upper-level trough keeps readings subdued; resolution hinges on hourly airport observations amid inherent short-range uncertainty in boundary layer mixing. Watch MGM's evening update for shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on April 13?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 13?
12°C 34%
11°C 31%
13°C 21%
14°C 6.5%
$12,355 Vol.
$12,355 Vol.
9°C ou menos
5%
10°C
4%
11°C
31%
12°C
34%
13°C
21%
14°C
7%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 34%
11°C 31%
13°C 21%
14°C 6.5%
$12,355 Vol.
$12,355 Vol.
9°C ou menos
5%
10°C
4%
11°C
31%
12°C
34%
13°C
21%
14°C
7%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of global forecast models around 11–13°C for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on April 13, driven by the latest Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) projection of a 12°C maximum under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows minor divergences, with 12°C leading due to consensus on cold air advection suppressing daytime heating, while 13°C gains from potential afternoon cloud breaks and 11°C from risks of increased showers as hinted in BBC updates. April climatology averages 17°C highs, but current upper-level trough keeps readings subdued; resolution hinges on hourly airport observations amid inherent short-range uncertainty in boundary layer mixing. Watch MGM's evening update for shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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