Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 84°F or higher at 54% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature on April 13, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting highs near 82-85°F amid building high-pressure ridging over Central Texas. This positioning stems from NOAA Climate Prediction Center's recent April outlook favoring above-normal temperatures across the region, supported by seasonal model agreement on elevated upper-level heights, following a warm late-winter stretch with 80s in February and early April showers capping recent highs around 77°F on April 10-11. Drier conditions and warm southwesterly flow could boost peaks, though 30-70% precipitation chances introduce uncertainty, potentially limiting outcomes to 82-83°F (27.5%). Watch overnight model runs and tomorrow's NWS update for refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on April 13?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 13?
84°F or higher 52%
82-83°F 26%
80-81°F 16%
78-79°F 5.8%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
26%
84°F or higher
52%
84°F or higher 52%
82-83°F 26%
80-81°F 16%
78-79°F 5.8%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
26%
84°F or higher
52%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 84°F or higher at 54% implied probability for Austin's highest temperature on April 13, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting highs near 82-85°F amid building high-pressure ridging over Central Texas. This positioning stems from NOAA Climate Prediction Center's recent April outlook favoring above-normal temperatures across the region, supported by seasonal model agreement on elevated upper-level heights, following a warm late-winter stretch with 80s in February and early April showers capping recent highs around 77°F on April 10-11. Drier conditions and warm southwesterly flow could boost peaks, though 30-70% precipitation chances introduce uncertainty, potentially limiting outcomes to 82-83°F (27.5%). Watch overnight model runs and tomorrow's NWS update for refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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