**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 26°C high in Busan on September 9 reflects convergence of official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models on a daily maximum near that value.** Northeasterly flow at 15–25 km/h, combined with partly to mostly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation, has limited daytime heating while maintaining conditions consistent with late-summer climatology for the region, where September averages hover around 26–27°C. Recent model runs show little spread around this outcome, with observed temperatures during peak heating hours aligning closely with the 26°C threshold. A shift would require either stronger onshore flow or unexpected clear-sky development that pushes readings higher, or enhanced cloud cover and marine influence that caps the maximum below it—scenarios not supported by current observational trends or short-range guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Busan em 9 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Busan em 9 de setembro?
26°C 100.0%
21°C ou menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$33,607 Vol.
$33,607 Vol.
9 set 2026
21°C ou menos
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Sim
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C
Não
30°C
Não
31°C ou mais
Não
26°C 100.0%
21°C ou menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$33,607 Vol.
$33,607 Vol.
9 set 2026
21°C ou menos
$893 Vol.
Não
22°C
$385 Vol.
Não
23°C
$1,874 Vol.
Não
24°C
$780 Vol.
Não
25°C
$4,863 Vol.
Não
26°C
$9,367 Vol.
Sim
27°C
$4,447 Vol.
Não
28°C
$3,111 Vol.
Não
29°C
$2,024 Vol.
Não
30°C
$2,460 Vol.
Não
31°C ou mais
$3,403 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 26°C high in Busan on September 9 reflects convergence of official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models on a daily maximum near that value.** Northeasterly flow at 15–25 km/h, combined with partly to mostly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation, has limited daytime heating while maintaining conditions consistent with late-summer climatology for the region, where September averages hover around 26–27°C. Recent model runs show little spread around this outcome, with observed temperatures during peak heating hours aligning closely with the 26°C threshold. A shift would require either stronger onshore flow or unexpected clear-sky development that pushes readings higher, or enhanced cloud cover and marine influence that caps the maximum below it—scenarios not supported by current observational trends or short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$33,607Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 26°C high in Busan on September 9 reflects convergence of official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models on a daily maximum near that value.** Northeasterly flow at 15–25 km/h, combined with partly to mostly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation, has limited daytime heating while maintaining conditions consistent with late-summer climatology for the region, where September averages hover around 26–27°C. Recent model runs show little spread around this outcome, with observed temperatures during peak heating hours aligning closely with the 26°C threshold. A shift would require either stronger onshore flow or unexpected clear-sky development that pushes readings higher, or enhanced cloud cover and marine influence that caps the maximum below it—scenarios not supported by current observational trends or short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,607Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 26°C high in Busan on September 9 reflects convergence of official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models on a daily maximum near that value.** Northeasterly flow at 15–25 km/h, combined with partly to mostly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation, has limited daytime heating while maintaining conditions consistent with late-summer climatology for the region, where September averages hover around 26–27°C. Recent model runs show little spread around this outcome, with observed temperatures during peak heating hours aligning closely with the 26°C threshold. A shift would require either stronger onshore flow or unexpected clear-sky development that pushes readings higher, or enhanced cloud cover and marine influence that caps the maximum below it—scenarios not supported by current observational trends or short-range guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions