Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin race between 15°C (33%) and 16°C (30.5%) for Helsinki's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting divergent short-range forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI), which projects a 14°C high under partly cloudy skies with a 40% precipitation risk, and warmer ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models clustering around 15-16°C. Key differentiators include northerly winds moderating boundary-layer temperatures versus potential high-pressure ridging boosting solar insolation—clearer skies favor 16°C, while increased cloudiness tips toward 15°C. Recent cold snaps have held highs below 10°C, well above mid-April climatological norms of 9-11°C. Overnight model runs will refine uncertainty before tomorrow's observations resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Helsinki on April 17?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 17?
15°C 33%
16°C 32%
18°C or higher 23%
17°C 12%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
9%
15°C
33%
16°C
32%
17°C
12%
18°C or higher
18%
15°C 33%
16°C 32%
18°C or higher 23%
17°C 12%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
9%
15°C
33%
16°C
32%
17°C
12%
18°C or higher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin race between 15°C (33%) and 16°C (30.5%) for Helsinki's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting divergent short-range forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI), which projects a 14°C high under partly cloudy skies with a 40% precipitation risk, and warmer ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models clustering around 15-16°C. Key differentiators include northerly winds moderating boundary-layer temperatures versus potential high-pressure ridging boosting solar insolation—clearer skies favor 16°C, while increased cloudiness tips toward 15°C. Recent cold snaps have held highs below 10°C, well above mid-April climatological norms of 9-11°C. Overnight model runs will refine uncertainty before tomorrow's observations resolve the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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