Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 82-83°F (38%) and 84-85°F (33.5%) for Houston's highest temperature on April 17, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating highs near 82-84°F amid persistent southerly winds from the Gulf of Mexico advecting warm, moist air above April climatological normals of around 80°F. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and 20-60% chances of scattered showers or thunderstorms, which could limit diurnal heating and cap peaks at the lower end, while clearer skies favor the mid-80s as hinted in some Hobby Airport guidance near 87°F. Recent actual highs, like 83°F on April 14, and sparse recent rain support the warm bias, but new GFS/ECMWF runs overnight and morning observations will refine timing of any convective activity ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on April 17?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 17?
82-83°F 40%
84-85°F 34%
80-81°F 15%
86-87°F 12%
79°F or below
6%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
40%
84-85°F
34%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 40%
84-85°F 34%
80-81°F 15%
86-87°F 12%
79°F or below
6%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
40%
84-85°F
34%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 82-83°F (38%) and 84-85°F (33.5%) for Houston's highest temperature on April 17, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating highs near 82-84°F amid persistent southerly winds from the Gulf of Mexico advecting warm, moist air above April climatological normals of around 80°F. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and 20-60% chances of scattered showers or thunderstorms, which could limit diurnal heating and cap peaks at the lower end, while clearer skies favor the mid-80s as hinted in some Hobby Airport guidance near 87°F. Recent actual highs, like 83°F on April 14, and sparse recent rain support the warm bias, but new GFS/ECMWF runs overnight and morning observations will refine timing of any convective activity ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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