National Weather Service forecasts for Houston's William P. Hobby Airport indicate a daytime high near 81°F on April 4 amid mostly cloudy skies, south winds around 10 mph, and a 30% chance of scattered showers, positioning the 80-81°F outcome as trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability. This reflects convergence in GFS and ECMWF model runs showing persistent low-level moisture and light precipitation capping temperatures just above the early April climatological average of 78°F. Recent observations at Hobby logged highs near 84°F on April 2 under clearer conditions, but yesterday's shift to overcast skies and spotty showers has trimmed expectations. Traders eye morning NWS updates and hourly observations for final resolution, with cloud cover variability potentially swinging outcomes 2-3°F.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on April 4?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 4?
80-81°F 40%
82-83°F 28%
78-79°F 25%
76-77°F 3.1%
$13,200 Vol.
$13,200 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 40%
82-83°F 28%
78-79°F 25%
76-77°F 3.1%
$13,200 Vol.
$13,200 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Houston's William P. Hobby Airport indicate a daytime high near 81°F on April 4 amid mostly cloudy skies, south winds around 10 mph, and a 30% chance of scattered showers, positioning the 80-81°F outcome as trader consensus at 41.5% implied probability. This reflects convergence in GFS and ECMWF model runs showing persistent low-level moisture and light precipitation capping temperatures just above the early April climatological average of 78°F. Recent observations at Hobby logged highs near 84°F on April 2 under clearer conditions, but yesterday's shift to overcast skies and spotty showers has trimmed expectations. Traders eye morning NWS updates and hourly observations for final resolution, with cloud cover variability potentially swinging outcomes 2-3°F.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions