Latest BMKG forecasts and ensemble model consensus project Jakarta's highest air temperature at Halim Perdanakusuma station on April 17 near 32°C, amid the seasonal transition from wet to dry conditions, but closely matched trader sentiment—33°C (28.5% implied probability), 34°C (28.0%), and 32°C (25.0%)—reflects uncertainty from variable cloud cover and potential afternoon thunderstorms that could cap peaks, versus clearer skies enabling urban heat island amplification. Recent BMKG warnings of above-normal April heat, driven by ENSO-neutral conditions shifting toward El Niño with prolonged dry season risks, have elevated higher-end odds, building on April 15's observed 31°C sunny high. Hourly BMKG updates and real-time observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 17?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 17?
33°C 29%
34°C 28%
32°C 26%
31°C 9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
26%
33°C
29%
34°C
28%
35°C
8%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 29%
34°C 28%
32°C 26%
31°C 9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
26%
33°C
29%
34°C
28%
35°C
8%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest BMKG forecasts and ensemble model consensus project Jakarta's highest air temperature at Halim Perdanakusuma station on April 17 near 32°C, amid the seasonal transition from wet to dry conditions, but closely matched trader sentiment—33°C (28.5% implied probability), 34°C (28.0%), and 32°C (25.0%)—reflects uncertainty from variable cloud cover and potential afternoon thunderstorms that could cap peaks, versus clearer skies enabling urban heat island amplification. Recent BMKG warnings of above-normal April heat, driven by ENSO-neutral conditions shifting toward El Niño with prolonged dry season risks, have elevated higher-end odds, building on April 15's observed 31°C sunny high. Hourly BMKG updates and real-time observations will sharpen resolution tomorrow.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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