Following a record-breaking 26.6°C high in Kew Gardens on April 8—the warmest early April day in 80 years—a sharp cooldown has gripped London, driven by an Atlantic front delivering cooler southwest winds, cloud cover, and scattered showers. The Met Office's latest forecast as of April 11 pins the April 13 maximum at 13°C during sunny intervals, with 50-60% afternoon rain risk potentially suppressing peaks, while BBC Weather implies 15°C amid light showers; this model divergence fuels trader sentiment centering on 14°C (36.5% implied probability), 13°C (24.5%), and 15°C (24%). Near-average April climatology (13-14°C highs) and ensemble guidance support clustered outcomes around these levels, with updated forecasts expected April 12 to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 13 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 13 de abril?
14°C 35%
15°C 25%
13°C 24%
16°C ou mais 14%
$32,857 Vol.
$32,857 Vol.
6°C ou menos
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
5%
13°C
24%
14°C
35%
15°C
25%
16°C ou mais
14%
14°C 35%
15°C 25%
13°C 24%
16°C ou mais 14%
$32,857 Vol.
$32,857 Vol.
6°C ou menos
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
5%
13°C
24%
14°C
35%
15°C
25%
16°C ou mais
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Following a record-breaking 26.6°C high in Kew Gardens on April 8—the warmest early April day in 80 years—a sharp cooldown has gripped London, driven by an Atlantic front delivering cooler southwest winds, cloud cover, and scattered showers. The Met Office's latest forecast as of April 11 pins the April 13 maximum at 13°C during sunny intervals, with 50-60% afternoon rain risk potentially suppressing peaks, while BBC Weather implies 15°C amid light showers; this model divergence fuels trader sentiment centering on 14°C (36.5% implied probability), 13°C (24.5%), and 15°C (24%). Near-average April climatology (13-14°C highs) and ensemble guidance support clustered outcomes around these levels, with updated forecasts expected April 12 to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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