Latest Roshydromet forecasts project Moscow's highest temperature on April 17 at 14–16°C under partly cloudy skies with 71% precipitation probability and light southerly winds around 2 m/s, driving trader consensus toward closely matched implied probabilities for 12°C (28.5%), 13°C (33%), and 14°C (22%). This tight clustering stems from ensemble model disagreements—GFS emphasizing persistent low cloud decks and frontal moisture suppressing peaks to 12–13°C, while ECMWF hints at intermittent clears allowing 14°C—against a backdrop of lingering Arctic air influence and typical spring variability in the region. Historical April highs average 10–12°C, underscoring the mild but uncertain ridge breakdown. Key differentiator: exact timing of any showers, with final Vnukovo Airport observations resolving the market tomorrow. New 00Z runs could refine odds further.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
13°C 30%
12°C 28%
14°C 23%
11°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
17 abr 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
4%
11°C
13%
12°C
28%
13°C
30%
14°C
23%
15°C
6%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 30%
12°C 28%
14°C 23%
11°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
17 abr 2026
7°C or below
$876 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$1,584 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$325 Vol.
2%
10°C
$132 Vol.
4%
11°C
$126 Vol.
13%
12°C
$119 Vol.
28%
13°C
$91 Vol.
30%
14°C
$151 Vol.
23%
15°C
$1,760 Vol.
6%
16°C
$2,153 Vol.
2%
17°C or higher
$3,008 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Roshydromet forecasts project Moscow's highest temperature on April 17 at 14–16°C under partly cloudy skies with 71% precipitation probability and light southerly winds around 2 m/s, driving trader consensus toward closely matched implied probabilities for 12°C (28.5%), 13°C (33%), and 14°C (22%). This tight clustering stems from ensemble model disagreements—GFS emphasizing persistent low cloud decks and frontal moisture suppressing peaks to 12–13°C, while ECMWF hints at intermittent clears allowing 14°C—against a backdrop of lingering Arctic air influence and typical spring variability in the region. Historical April highs average 10–12°C, underscoring the mild but uncertain ridge breakdown. Key differentiator: exact timing of any showers, with final Vnukovo Airport observations resolving the market tomorrow. New 00Z runs could refine odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$9,777Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Roshydromet forecasts project Moscow's highest temperature on April 17 at 14–16°C under partly cloudy skies with 71% precipitation probability and light southerly winds around 2 m/s, driving trader consensus toward closely matched implied probabilities for 12°C (28.5%), 13°C (33%), and 14°C (22%). This tight clustering stems from ensemble model disagreements—GFS emphasizing persistent low cloud decks and frontal moisture suppressing peaks to 12–13°C, while ECMWF hints at intermittent clears allowing 14°C—against a backdrop of lingering Arctic air influence and typical spring variability in the region. Historical April highs average 10–12°C, underscoring the mild but uncertain ridge breakdown. Key differentiator: exact timing of any showers, with final Vnukovo Airport observations resolving the market tomorrow. New 00Z runs could refine odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,777Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Roshydromet forecasts project Moscow's highest temperature on April 17 at 14–16°C under partly cloudy skies with 71% precipitation probability and light southerly winds around 2 m/s, driving trader consensus toward closely matched implied probabilities for 12°C (28.5%), 13°C (33%), and 14°C (22%). This tight clustering stems from ensemble model disagreements—GFS emphasizing persistent low cloud decks and frontal moisture suppressing peaks to 12–13°C, while ECMWF hints at intermittent clears allowing 14°C—against a backdrop of lingering Arctic air influence and typical spring variability in the region. Historical April highs average 10–12°C, underscoring the mild but uncertain ridge breakdown. Key differentiator: exact timing of any showers, with final Vnukovo Airport observations resolving the market tomorrow. New 00Z runs could refine odds further.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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