Latest National Weather Service Seattle forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble runs project highs of 54-57°F for April 13, aligning trader sentiment with 54-55°F (46% implied probability) as the frontrunner, followed by 56-57°F (24%). This positioning stems from a recent warm spell peaking at 70°F on April 6 giving way to seasonal norms under weak upper-level ridging and dry conditions noted in the April 10 Area Forecast Discussion, tempered by persistent Puget Sound marine layer moderating temperatures near the early-April climatological average of 57°F at Seattle-Tacoma Airport. Model consensus supports limited intensification potential amid light winds and partly cloudy skies, though minor spread reflects uncertainty from variable onshore flow; new 00z runs overnight and Sunday's forecast update could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Seattle on April 13?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 13?
54-55°F 27%
56-57°F 27%
52-53°F 19%
58-59°F 11%
45°F or below
1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
3%
50-51°F
6%
52-53°F
19%
54-55°F
27%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
11%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
1%
64°F or higher
1%
54-55°F 27%
56-57°F 27%
52-53°F 19%
58-59°F 11%
45°F or below
1%
46-47°F
1%
48-49°F
3%
50-51°F
6%
52-53°F
19%
54-55°F
27%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
11%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
1%
64°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service Seattle forecasts and GFS/ECMWF ensemble runs project highs of 54-57°F for April 13, aligning trader sentiment with 54-55°F (46% implied probability) as the frontrunner, followed by 56-57°F (24%). This positioning stems from a recent warm spell peaking at 70°F on April 6 giving way to seasonal norms under weak upper-level ridging and dry conditions noted in the April 10 Area Forecast Discussion, tempered by persistent Puget Sound marine layer moderating temperatures near the early-April climatological average of 57°F at Seattle-Tacoma Airport. Model consensus supports limited intensification potential amid light winds and partly cloudy skies, though minor spread reflects uncertainty from variable onshore flow; new 00z runs overnight and Sunday's forecast update could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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