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Temperatura mais alta em Seattle no dia 12 de abril?

Market icon

Temperatura mais alta em Seattle no dia 12 de abril?

60-61°F 35%

58-59°F 33%

62°F ou mais 18.4%

56-57°F 13%

Polymarket

$21,171 Vol.

60-61°F 35%

58-59°F 33%

62°F ou mais 18.4%

56-57°F 13%

Polymarket

$21,171 Vol.

43°F ou menos

$1,192 Vol.

<1%

44-45°F

$1,118 Vol.

<1%

46-47°F

$1,355 Vol.

<1%

48-49°F

$1,707 Vol.

<1%

50-51°F

$2,325 Vol.

<1%

52-53°F

$1,796 Vol.

1%

54-55°F

$3,239 Vol.

4%

56-57°F

$2,346 Vol.

13%

58-59°F

$2,104 Vol.

33%

60-61°F

$1,789 Vol.

35%

62°F ou mais

$2,199 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 58-59°F and 60-61°F for Seattle's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF, which project highs in the upper 50s to low 60s amid a weak upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest. Recent developments include a warmer-than-normal early April pattern, with NOAA's spring outlook favoring above-average temperatures under ENSO-neutral conditions, but persistent marine layer and variable onshore flow could limit diurnal heating or introduce stratiform clouds, differentiating the outcomes. Model spread highlights risks of partial clearing versus persistent overcast skies; watch evening forecast updates from NOAA for refinements ahead of official resolution at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA).

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$21,171
Data de Término
12 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 58-59°F and 60-61°F for Seattle's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF, which project highs in the upper 50s to low 60s amid a weak upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest. Recent developments include a warmer-than-normal early April pattern, with NOAA's spring outlook favoring above-average temperatures under ENSO-neutral conditions, but persistent marine layer and variable onshore flow could limit diurnal heating or introduce stratiform clouds, differentiating the outcomes. Model spread highlights risks of partial clearing versus persistent overcast skies; watch evening forecast updates from NOAA for refinements ahead of official resolution at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA).

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$21,171
Data de Término
12 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em Seattle no dia 12 de abril?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "60-61°F" at 35%, followed by "58-59°F" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais alta em Seattle no dia 12 de abril?" has generated $21.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Seattle no dia 12 de abril?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em Seattle no dia 12 de abril?" is "60-61°F" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "58-59°F" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em Seattle no dia 12 de abril?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.