Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 58-59°F and 60-61°F for Seattle's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF, which project highs in the upper 50s to low 60s amid a weak upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest. Recent developments include a warmer-than-normal early April pattern, with NOAA's spring outlook favoring above-average temperatures under ENSO-neutral conditions, but persistent marine layer and variable onshore flow could limit diurnal heating or introduce stratiform clouds, differentiating the outcomes. Model spread highlights risks of partial clearing versus persistent overcast skies; watch evening forecast updates from NOAA for refinements ahead of official resolution at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA).
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seattle no dia 12 de abril?
Temperatura mais alta em Seattle no dia 12 de abril?
60-61°F 35%
58-59°F 33%
62°F ou mais 18.4%
56-57°F 13%
$21,171 Vol.
$21,171 Vol.
43°F ou menos
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
4%
56-57°F
13%
58-59°F
33%
60-61°F
35%
62°F ou mais
18%
60-61°F 35%
58-59°F 33%
62°F ou mais 18.4%
56-57°F 13%
$21,171 Vol.
$21,171 Vol.
43°F ou menos
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
4%
56-57°F
13%
58-59°F
33%
60-61°F
35%
62°F ou mais
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 58-59°F and 60-61°F for Seattle's highest temperature on April 12, reflecting uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model outputs from GFS and ECMWF, which project highs in the upper 50s to low 60s amid a weak upper-level ridge over the Pacific Northwest. Recent developments include a warmer-than-normal early April pattern, with NOAA's spring outlook favoring above-average temperatures under ENSO-neutral conditions, but persistent marine layer and variable onshore flow could limit diurnal heating or introduce stratiform clouds, differentiating the outcomes. Model spread highlights risks of partial clearing versus persistent overcast skies; watch evening forecast updates from NOAA for refinements ahead of official resolution at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA).
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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