Latest China Meteorological Administration and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17 around 20-21°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions, anchoring trader sentiment with 20°C leading at 34.5% implied probability and nearby outcomes sharing over 70% volume. This reflects recent highs near 19°C on April 15-16 amid a cool spring pattern, aligning with mid-April climatological averages of 19-20°C but below some warmer CMA runs near 23°C. High uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover limiting solar heating, potential patchy rain, and shifting winds—northerlies could drop to 18-19°C, while stronger southerlies might push toward 22°C. Official Shanghai station observations will resolve tomorrow.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 17?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 17?
20°C 32%
21°C 25%
19°C 21%
22°C 11.9%
$14,169 Vol.
$14,169 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
5%
19°C
21%
20°C
32%
21°C
25%
22°C
12%
23°C or higher
8%
20°C 32%
21°C 25%
19°C 21%
22°C 11.9%
$14,169 Vol.
$14,169 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
5%
19°C
21%
20°C
32%
21°C
25%
22°C
12%
23°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17 around 20-21°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions, anchoring trader sentiment with 20°C leading at 34.5% implied probability and nearby outcomes sharing over 70% volume. This reflects recent highs near 19°C on April 15-16 amid a cool spring pattern, aligning with mid-April climatological averages of 19-20°C but below some warmer CMA runs near 23°C. High uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover limiting solar heating, potential patchy rain, and shifting winds—northerlies could drop to 18-19°C, while stronger southerlies might push toward 22°C. Official Shanghai station observations will resolve tomorrow.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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