Traders' near-even split between 33°C (34.5%) and 32°C (33%) for Singapore's highest temperature on March 22 reflects ensemble weather models projecting peaks around 32.5°C during the inter-monsoon period, when light winds and high solar insolation often push highs above the 31.8°C March average. Recent NEA forecasts indicate partly cloudy skies with afternoon thundershowers likely, potentially capping temperatures at 32°C via convective cooling, while drier conditions seen in early March under lingering El Niño influences favor breaching 33°C—evident in last week's 34°C spikes. Historical data from Changi station shows 33°C occurring 40% of March 22s since 2010, heightening uncertainty as final boundary layer heating hinges on morning cloud cover.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Singapore on March 22?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 22?
33°C 35%
32°C 33%
34°C 15%
35°C or higher 6.3%
$31,625 Vol.
$31,625 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
33%
33°C
35%
34°C
15%
35°C or higher
6%
33°C 35%
32°C 33%
34°C 15%
35°C or higher 6.3%
$31,625 Vol.
$31,625 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
33%
33°C
35%
34°C
15%
35°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 18, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders' near-even split between 33°C (34.5%) and 32°C (33%) for Singapore's highest temperature on March 22 reflects ensemble weather models projecting peaks around 32.5°C during the inter-monsoon period, when light winds and high solar insolation often push highs above the 31.8°C March average. Recent NEA forecasts indicate partly cloudy skies with afternoon thundershowers likely, potentially capping temperatures at 32°C via convective cooling, while drier conditions seen in early March under lingering El Niño influences favor breaching 33°C—evident in last week's 34°C spikes. Historical data from Changi station shows 33°C occurring 40% of March 22s since 2010, heightening uncertainty as final boundary layer heating hinges on morning cloud cover.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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