Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources indicate a daytime high near 32–34°C in Tel Aviv on August 29, driven by typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, southwesterly flow, and limited cloud cover that supports surface heating without strong advection of cooler air. Recent observations show stable conditions with highs in this range over the prior days, aligning with climatological norms of 30–33°C for the period and no active heat wave or marine layer changes. Trader consensus reflected in the 61.5% implied probability for 33°C incorporates this model agreement while accounting for minor variability from wind shifts or afternoon convection. Official resolution will depend on the verified maximum from the Tel Aviv monitoring station, with any last-minute forecast adjustments from updated runs likely to influence remaining liquidity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 29 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 29 de agosto?
33°C 63%
34°C 21%
32°C 12%
31°C 2%
NOVO
NOVO
29 ago 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
63%
34°C
21%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 63%
34°C 21%
32°C 12%
31°C 2%
NOVO
NOVO
29 ago 2026
29°C or below
$208 Vol.
1%
30°C
$49 Vol.
1%
31°C
$246 Vol.
2%
32°C
$708 Vol.
12%
33°C
$1,229 Vol.
63%
34°C
$1,140 Vol.
21%
35°C
$302 Vol.
1%
36°C
$151 Vol.
1%
37°C
$169 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$335 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$190 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources indicate a daytime high near 32–34°C in Tel Aviv on August 29, driven by typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, southwesterly flow, and limited cloud cover that supports surface heating without strong advection of cooler air. Recent observations show stable conditions with highs in this range over the prior days, aligning with climatological norms of 30–33°C for the period and no active heat wave or marine layer changes. Trader consensus reflected in the 61.5% implied probability for 33°C incorporates this model agreement while accounting for minor variability from wind shifts or afternoon convection. Official resolution will depend on the verified maximum from the Tel Aviv monitoring station, with any last-minute forecast adjustments from updated runs likely to influence remaining liquidity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,727Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources indicate a daytime high near 32–34°C in Tel Aviv on August 29, driven by typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, southwesterly flow, and limited cloud cover that supports surface heating without strong advection of cooler air. Recent observations show stable conditions with highs in this range over the prior days, aligning with climatological norms of 30–33°C for the period and no active heat wave or marine layer changes. Trader consensus reflected in the 61.5% implied probability for 33°C incorporates this model agreement while accounting for minor variability from wind shifts or afternoon convection. Official resolution will depend on the verified maximum from the Tel Aviv monitoring station, with any last-minute forecast adjustments from updated runs likely to influence remaining liquidity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,727Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and international sources indicate a daytime high near 32–34°C in Tel Aviv on August 29, driven by typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, southwesterly flow, and limited cloud cover that supports surface heating without strong advection of cooler air. Recent observations show stable conditions with highs in this range over the prior days, aligning with climatological norms of 30–33°C for the period and no active heat wave or marine layer changes. Trader consensus reflected in the 61.5% implied probability for 33°C incorporates this model agreement while accounting for minor variability from wind shifts or afternoon convection. Official resolution will depend on the verified maximum from the Tel Aviv monitoring station, with any last-minute forecast adjustments from updated runs likely to influence remaining liquidity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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