Recent heavy rainfall and associated cloud cover across Chongqing, driven by a strong convective weather system tracked by the local meteorological authority, are the primary factors cooling surface temperatures and elevating the implied probability of a low around 19–22°C for August 30. Nocturnal radiative cooling under lingering moisture and reduced daytime insolation from lingering showers should limit the overnight minimum, consistent with official guidance showing 20–24°C ranges in central districts and analogs from prior monsoon-influenced days. Model consensus points to modest further cooling before clearer conditions return, though forecast uncertainty in exact steering and localized urban heat effects keeps probabilities spread across the 21–23°C band.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Chongqing em 30 de agosto?
19°C or below 92%
20°C 49%
24°C 49%
21°C 27%
19°C or below
92%
20°C
49%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
49%
25°C
8%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
11%
19°C or below 92%
20°C 49%
24°C 49%
21°C 27%
19°C or below
92%
20°C
49%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
49%
25°C
8%
26°C
8%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall and associated cloud cover across Chongqing, driven by a strong convective weather system tracked by the local meteorological authority, are the primary factors cooling surface temperatures and elevating the implied probability of a low around 19–22°C for August 30. Nocturnal radiative cooling under lingering moisture and reduced daytime insolation from lingering showers should limit the overnight minimum, consistent with official guidance showing 20–24°C ranges in central districts and analogs from prior monsoon-influenced days. Model consensus points to modest further cooling before clearer conditions return, though forecast uncertainty in exact steering and localized urban heat effects keeps probabilities spread across the 21–23°C band.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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