Official temperature readings from National Weather Service stations in Houston on September 9 showed a minimum of 78-79°F, aligning with the market's near-certain 99% implied probability for that bin. Late-summer subtropical conditions, including a stable air mass with minimal frontal activity and typical Gulf moisture, produced overnight lows consistent with climatological norms for early September. Model consensus and surface observations reinforced this outcome without significant deviations. Resolution hinges on verified station data, so only discrepancies in official reporting or post-event quality control revisions could realistically alter the result, though such changes remain uncommon at this probability level.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Houston em 9 de setembro?
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F ou menos 13%
76-77°F 11%
74-75°F 3%
$1,622 Vol.
$1,622 Vol.
71°F ou menos
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Não
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Sim
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Não
86-87°F
Não
88-89°F
Não
32°C ou mais
Não
78-79°F 100.0%
71°F ou menos 13%
76-77°F 11%
74-75°F 3%
$1,622 Vol.
$1,622 Vol.
71°F ou menos
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Não
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Sim
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Não
86-87°F
Não
88-89°F
Não
32°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 7, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official temperature readings from National Weather Service stations in Houston on September 9 showed a minimum of 78-79°F, aligning with the market's near-certain 99% implied probability for that bin. Late-summer subtropical conditions, including a stable air mass with minimal frontal activity and typical Gulf moisture, produced overnight lows consistent with climatological norms for early September. Model consensus and surface observations reinforced this outcome without significant deviations. Resolution hinges on verified station data, so only discrepancies in official reporting or post-event quality control revisions could realistically alter the result, though such changes remain uncommon at this probability level.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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