Recent forecast models from sources including GFS indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Madrid on September 11, promoting radiational cooling under high pressure and supporting a daily minimum near 12–13°C. This aligns with the market-implied 70% probability for 11°C or below and 28% for exactly 12°C, as the consensus reflects current observational trends and model runs rather than seasonal normals around 16°C. Stable conditions with minimal cloud cover and dry air limit warming overnight, though slight variations in wind or humidity could nudge the low upward. Traders appear positioned ahead of the next model update cycle and official AEMET verification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Madrid no dia 11 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Madrid no dia 11 de setembro?
11°C ou menos 70%
12°C 28%
14°C 16%
21°C ou mais 15%
NOVO
NOVO
11 set 2026
11°C ou menos
70%
12°C
28%
13°C
13%
14°C
16%
15°C
14%
16°C
14%
17°C
14%
18°C
8%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C ou mais
15%
11°C ou menos 70%
12°C 28%
14°C 16%
21°C ou mais 15%
NOVO
NOVO
11 set 2026
11°C ou menos
$51 Vol.
70%
12°C
$12 Vol.
28%
13°C
$12 Vol.
13%
14°C
$0 Vol.
16%
15°C
$0 Vol.
14%
16°C
$0 Vol.
14%
17°C
$0 Vol.
14%
18°C
$0 Vol.
8%
19°C
$0 Vol.
8%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including GFS indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Madrid on September 11, promoting radiational cooling under high pressure and supporting a daily minimum near 12–13°C. This aligns with the market-implied 70% probability for 11°C or below and 28% for exactly 12°C, as the consensus reflects current observational trends and model runs rather than seasonal normals around 16°C. Stable conditions with minimal cloud cover and dry air limit warming overnight, though slight variations in wind or humidity could nudge the low upward. Traders appear positioned ahead of the next model update cycle and official AEMET verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$75Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including GFS indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Madrid on September 11, promoting radiational cooling under high pressure and supporting a daily minimum near 12–13°C. This aligns with the market-implied 70% probability for 11°C or below and 28% for exactly 12°C, as the consensus reflects current observational trends and model runs rather than seasonal normals around 16°C. Stable conditions with minimal cloud cover and dry air limit warming overnight, though slight variations in wind or humidity could nudge the low upward. Traders appear positioned ahead of the next model update cycle and official AEMET verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$75Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including GFS indicate clear skies and light northeasterly winds over Madrid on September 11, promoting radiational cooling under high pressure and supporting a daily minimum near 12–13°C. This aligns with the market-implied 70% probability for 11°C or below and 28% for exactly 12°C, as the consensus reflects current observational trends and model runs rather than seasonal normals around 16°C. Stable conditions with minimal cloud cover and dry air limit warming overnight, though slight variations in wind or humidity could nudge the low upward. Traders appear positioned ahead of the next model update cycle and official AEMET verification.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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