Recent warm and humid conditions across the Northeast, with no strong cold fronts or clear skies promoting radiative cooling, are positioning overnight lows in New York City near or slightly above early-August climatological norms of 67–71°F. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service highlight seasonably warm air masses with elevated dew points limiting temperature drops, reinforced by the urban heat island effect from impervious surfaces that retains heat through the night. Model consensus supports minimal variability, elevating market-implied odds for 70–73°F outcomes as traders weigh these atmospheric patterns against historical Central Park data. Updated evening observations or any unexpected wind shifts could refine the final reading before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 5 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 5 de agosto?
72-73°F 96%
70-71°F 11%
68-69°F 2%
74-75°F <1%
NOVO
$20,950 Vol.
NOVO
$20,950 Vol.
5 ago 2026
57°F ou menos
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
79%
74-75°F
<1%
76°F ou mais
<1%
72-73°F 96%
70-71°F 11%
68-69°F 2%
74-75°F <1%
NOVO
$20,950 Vol.
NOVO
$20,950 Vol.
5 ago 2026
57°F ou menos
$394 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$393 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$393 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$948 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,178 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,303 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,487 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$4,908 Vol.
11%
72-73°F
$2,236 Vol.
79%
74-75°F
$5,953 Vol.
<1%
76°F ou mais
$1,759 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent warm and humid conditions across the Northeast, with no strong cold fronts or clear skies promoting radiative cooling, are positioning overnight lows in New York City near or slightly above early-August climatological norms of 67–71°F. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service highlight seasonably warm air masses with elevated dew points limiting temperature drops, reinforced by the urban heat island effect from impervious surfaces that retains heat through the night. Model consensus supports minimal variability, elevating market-implied odds for 70–73°F outcomes as traders weigh these atmospheric patterns against historical Central Park data. Updated evening observations or any unexpected wind shifts could refine the final reading before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$20,950Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent warm and humid conditions across the Northeast, with no strong cold fronts or clear skies promoting radiative cooling, are positioning overnight lows in New York City near or slightly above early-August climatological norms of 67–71°F. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service highlight seasonably warm air masses with elevated dew points limiting temperature drops, reinforced by the urban heat island effect from impervious surfaces that retains heat through the night. Model consensus supports minimal variability, elevating market-implied odds for 70–73°F outcomes as traders weigh these atmospheric patterns against historical Central Park data. Updated evening observations or any unexpected wind shifts could refine the final reading before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,950Data de Término
5 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent warm and humid conditions across the Northeast, with no strong cold fronts or clear skies promoting radiative cooling, are positioning overnight lows in New York City near or slightly above early-August climatological norms of 67–71°F. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service highlight seasonably warm air masses with elevated dew points limiting temperature drops, reinforced by the urban heat island effect from impervious surfaces that retains heat through the night. Model consensus supports minimal variability, elevating market-implied odds for 70–73°F outcomes as traders weigh these atmospheric patterns against historical Central Park data. Updated evening observations or any unexpected wind shifts could refine the final reading before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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