Recent polls ahead of New Zealand’s November 7, 2026 general election show Labour consistently leading National in party vote, often by several points, while the incumbent National-led coalition maintains a narrow projected seat majority. National’s support has fallen to multi-year lows amid economic pressures, boosting Labour’s position as the largest single party. This dynamic keeps National the market favorite for second place at 60.5 percent implied probability, with Labour close behind at 40 percent. Smaller parties such as New Zealand First, the Greens, and ACT remain well behind on current trends. The race remains sensitive to further polling shifts and the formal campaign period that begins in early August.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNew Zealand Election: 2nd Place
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
National Party 61%
Labour Party 40%
New Zealand First Party 1.8%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
$15,752 Vol.
$15,752 Vol.
7 nov 2026
National Party
61%
Labour Party
40%
New Zealand First Party
2%
Te Pāti Māori
1%
Green Party
1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
National Party 61%
Labour Party 40%
New Zealand First Party 1.8%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
$15,752 Vol.
$15,752 Vol.
7 nov 2026
National Party
$8,190 Vol.
61%
Labour Party
$3,331 Vol.
40%
New Zealand First Party
$1,262 Vol.
2%
Te Pāti Māori
$1,199 Vol.
1%
Green Party
$542 Vol.
1%
ACT New Zealand
$1,228 Vol.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polls ahead of New Zealand’s November 7, 2026 general election show Labour consistently leading National in party vote, often by several points, while the incumbent National-led coalition maintains a narrow projected seat majority. National’s support has fallen to multi-year lows amid economic pressures, boosting Labour’s position as the largest single party. This dynamic keeps National the market favorite for second place at 60.5 percent implied probability, with Labour close behind at 40 percent. Smaller parties such as New Zealand First, the Greens, and ACT remain well behind on current trends. The race remains sensitive to further polling shifts and the formal campaign period that begins in early August.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Mercado Aberto: Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Volume
$15,752Data de Término
7 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polls ahead of New Zealand’s November 7, 2026 general election show Labour consistently leading National in party vote, often by several points, while the incumbent National-led coalition maintains a narrow projected seat majority. National’s support has fallen to multi-year lows amid economic pressures, boosting Labour’s position as the largest single party. This dynamic keeps National the market favorite for second place at 60.5 percent implied probability, with Labour close behind at 40 percent. Smaller parties such as New Zealand First, the Greens, and ACT remain well behind on current trends. The race remains sensitive to further polling shifts and the formal campaign period that begins in early August.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volume
$15,752Data de Término
7 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of New Zealand’s November 7, 2026 general election show Labour consistently leading National in party vote, often by several points, while the incumbent National-led coalition maintains a narrow projected seat majority. National’s support has fallen to multi-year lows amid economic pressures, boosting Labour’s position as the largest single party. This dynamic keeps National the market favorite for second place at 60.5 percent implied probability, with Labour close behind at 40 percent. Smaller parties such as New Zealand First, the Greens, and ACT remain well behind on current trends. The race remains sensitive to further polling shifts and the formal campaign period that begins in early August.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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55%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
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NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
53%
Labour
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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