California's 38th congressional district emerged from redistricting as an open seat with a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and unanimous Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. The June 2 primary advanced former U.S. Representative Hilda Solis as the Democratic nominee against Republican Pedro Casas, underscoring limited GOP viability in this Los Angeles County and eastern Orange County area. Trader consensus pricing at 94.5% for Democrats captures these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring Republicans. A national Republican wave or unforeseen candidate-specific developments remain the primary theoretical paths to narrowing the margin before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-38 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-38 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$58,838 Объем
$58,838 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
2%
$58,838 Объем
$58,838 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$29,240 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$29,598 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district emerged from redistricting as an open seat with a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and unanimous Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. The June 2 primary advanced former U.S. Representative Hilda Solis as the Democratic nominee against Republican Pedro Casas, underscoring limited GOP viability in this Los Angeles County and eastern Orange County area. Trader consensus pricing at 94.5% for Democrats captures these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring Republicans. A national Republican wave or unforeseen candidate-specific developments remain the primary theoretical paths to narrowing the margin before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$58,838Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district emerged from redistricting as an open seat with a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and unanimous Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. The June 2 primary advanced former U.S. Representative Hilda Solis as the Democratic nominee against Republican Pedro Casas, underscoring limited GOP viability in this Los Angeles County and eastern Orange County area. Trader consensus pricing at 94.5% for Democrats captures these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring Republicans. A national Republican wave or unforeseen candidate-specific developments remain the primary theoretical paths to narrowing the margin before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$58,838Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 38th congressional district emerged from redistricting as an open seat with a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and unanimous Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters. The June 2 primary advanced former U.S. Representative Hilda Solis as the Democratic nominee against Republican Pedro Casas, underscoring limited GOP viability in this Los Angeles County and eastern Orange County area. Trader consensus pricing at 94.5% for Democrats captures these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals favoring Republicans. A national Republican wave or unforeseen candidate-specific developments remain the primary theoretical paths to narrowing the margin before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы