Hilda Solis, a former U.S. representative and Labor Secretary, advanced from the June 2026 primary as the clear Democratic frontrunner in California's 38th congressional district, an open seat following redistricting and the incumbent's decision to run elsewhere. She faces Republican Pedro Casas in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the district as solidly or safely Democratic, consistent with its voter registration edge and historical voting patterns in the Los Angeles and Orange County areas it covers. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome aligns with this structural advantage and Solis's established profile and fundraising. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national political realignment that alters turnout or voter priorities in the final weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-38 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-38 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$63,872 Объем
$63,872 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
1%
$63,872 Объем
$63,872 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$32,210 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$31,662 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hilda Solis, a former U.S. representative and Labor Secretary, advanced from the June 2026 primary as the clear Democratic frontrunner in California's 38th congressional district, an open seat following redistricting and the incumbent's decision to run elsewhere. She faces Republican Pedro Casas in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the district as solidly or safely Democratic, consistent with its voter registration edge and historical voting patterns in the Los Angeles and Orange County areas it covers. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome aligns with this structural advantage and Solis's established profile and fundraising. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national political realignment that alters turnout or voter priorities in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$63,872Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hilda Solis, a former U.S. representative and Labor Secretary, advanced from the June 2026 primary as the clear Democratic frontrunner in California's 38th congressional district, an open seat following redistricting and the incumbent's decision to run elsewhere. She faces Republican Pedro Casas in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the district as solidly or safely Democratic, consistent with its voter registration edge and historical voting patterns in the Los Angeles and Orange County areas it covers. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome aligns with this structural advantage and Solis's established profile and fundraising. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national political realignment that alters turnout or voter priorities in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$63,872Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Hilda Solis, a former U.S. representative and Labor Secretary, advanced from the June 2026 primary as the clear Democratic frontrunner in California's 38th congressional district, an open seat following redistricting and the incumbent's decision to run elsewhere. She faces Republican Pedro Casas in the November general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the district as solidly or safely Democratic, consistent with its voter registration edge and historical voting patterns in the Los Angeles and Orange County areas it covers. Trader consensus on the Democratic outcome aligns with this structural advantage and Solis's established profile and fundraising. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health issue, or sharp national political realignment that alters turnout or voter priorities in the final weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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