California's 38th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat following recent redistricting, with a Cook Political Report Solid D rating and partisan voting index favoring Democrats by roughly eight points. The open seat, created after incumbent Linda Sánchez shifted districts, features a June 2 top-two primary dominated by Democrats Hilda Solis, Monica Sánchez, and Erik Lutz against a single Republican, Pedro Casas. Solis holds overwhelming primary frontrunner status due to superior fundraising and institutional support. Trader consensus reflects the district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, with the general election winner almost certain to emerge from the Democratic side absent a major shift in voter turnout or unexpected developments before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-38 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-38 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$58,620 Объем
$58,620 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
2%
$58,620 Объем
$58,620 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$29,182 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$29,438 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat following recent redistricting, with a Cook Political Report Solid D rating and partisan voting index favoring Democrats by roughly eight points. The open seat, created after incumbent Linda Sánchez shifted districts, features a June 2 top-two primary dominated by Democrats Hilda Solis, Monica Sánchez, and Erik Lutz against a single Republican, Pedro Casas. Solis holds overwhelming primary frontrunner status due to superior fundraising and institutional support. Trader consensus reflects the district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, with the general election winner almost certain to emerge from the Democratic side absent a major shift in voter turnout or unexpected developments before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$58,620Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat following recent redistricting, with a Cook Political Report Solid D rating and partisan voting index favoring Democrats by roughly eight points. The open seat, created after incumbent Linda Sánchez shifted districts, features a June 2 top-two primary dominated by Democrats Hilda Solis, Monica Sánchez, and Erik Lutz against a single Republican, Pedro Casas. Solis holds overwhelming primary frontrunner status due to superior fundraising and institutional support. Trader consensus reflects the district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, with the general election winner almost certain to emerge from the Democratic side absent a major shift in voter turnout or unexpected developments before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$58,620Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 38th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat following recent redistricting, with a Cook Political Report Solid D rating and partisan voting index favoring Democrats by roughly eight points. The open seat, created after incumbent Linda Sánchez shifted districts, features a June 2 top-two primary dominated by Democrats Hilda Solis, Monica Sánchez, and Erik Lutz against a single Republican, Pedro Casas. Solis holds overwhelming primary frontrunner status due to superior fundraising and institutional support. Trader consensus reflects the district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, with the general election winner almost certain to emerge from the Democratic side absent a major shift in voter turnout or unexpected developments before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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