Trader consensus reflects a 72% implied probability for the CDC issuing a Level 3 Travel Health Notice—"Avoid Nonessential Travel"—by December 31, driven by persistent H5N1 avian influenza risks, with 71 confirmed U.S. human cases since February 2024 (two deaths, mostly mild among exposed workers) amid widespread animal outbreaks in dairy cows and poultry. No person-to-person transmission detected, per latest FluView (week ending April 18, 2026, no new cases). Compounding factors include clade II mpox outbreaks in Ghana and Liberia (current Level 2 notice since January 2026) and U.S. measles surges surpassing 1,700 cases (22 new outbreaks, 93% outbreak-associated), threatening elimination status. No Level 3 notices active; weekly surveillance updates will clarify escalation potential.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCDC выпустит предупреждение 3-го уровня до 31 декабря?
CDC выпустит предупреждение 3-го уровня до 31 декабря?
Да
$113,862 Объем
$113,862 Объем
Да
$113,862 Объем
$113,862 Объем
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a 72% implied probability for the CDC issuing a Level 3 Travel Health Notice—"Avoid Nonessential Travel"—by December 31, driven by persistent H5N1 avian influenza risks, with 71 confirmed U.S. human cases since February 2024 (two deaths, mostly mild among exposed workers) amid widespread animal outbreaks in dairy cows and poultry. No person-to-person transmission detected, per latest FluView (week ending April 18, 2026, no new cases). Compounding factors include clade II mpox outbreaks in Ghana and Liberia (current Level 2 notice since January 2026) and U.S. measles surges surpassing 1,700 cases (22 new outbreaks, 93% outbreak-associated), threatening elimination status. No Level 3 notices active; weekly surveillance updates will clarify escalation potential.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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