Recent Eurozone inflation data showing accelerated headline and core readings, driven by energy price surges and services pressures amid Middle East tensions, have reinforced expectations for European Central Bank tightening. Professional forecasters now project 2026 inflation near 2.7 percent, prompting markets to price multiple 25-basis-point hikes beginning in June and extending through the year. This data-dependent stance, with upside risks to inflation cited in official communications, underpins the near-certain trader consensus that at least one rate increase will occur before year-end. Even so, sharply lower subsequent inflation prints, faster geopolitical de-escalation easing energy costs, or pronounced growth weakness could still prompt the Governing Council to pause or forgo further moves.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПовышение ставки ЕЦБ в 2026 году?
Повышение ставки ЕЦБ в 2026 году?
Да
$129,671 Объем
$129,671 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$129,671 Объем
$129,671 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Eurozone inflation data showing accelerated headline and core readings, driven by energy price surges and services pressures amid Middle East tensions, have reinforced expectations for European Central Bank tightening. Professional forecasters now project 2026 inflation near 2.7 percent, prompting markets to price multiple 25-basis-point hikes beginning in June and extending through the year. This data-dependent stance, with upside risks to inflation cited in official communications, underpins the near-certain trader consensus that at least one rate increase will occur before year-end. Even so, sharply lower subsequent inflation prints, faster geopolitical de-escalation easing energy costs, or pronounced growth weakness could still prompt the Governing Council to pause or forgo further moves.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ET
Объем
$129,671Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Eurozone inflation data showing accelerated headline and core readings, driven by energy price surges and services pressures amid Middle East tensions, have reinforced expectations for European Central Bank tightening. Professional forecasters now project 2026 inflation near 2.7 percent, prompting markets to price multiple 25-basis-point hikes beginning in June and extending through the year. This data-dependent stance, with upside risks to inflation cited in official communications, underpins the near-certain trader consensus that at least one rate increase will occur before year-end. Even so, sharply lower subsequent inflation prints, faster geopolitical de-escalation easing energy costs, or pronounced growth weakness could still prompt the Governing Council to pause or forgo further moves.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$129,671Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Eurozone inflation data showing accelerated headline and core readings, driven by energy price surges and services pressures amid Middle East tensions, have reinforced expectations for European Central Bank tightening. Professional forecasters now project 2026 inflation near 2.7 percent, prompting markets to price multiple 25-basis-point hikes beginning in June and extending through the year. This data-dependent stance, with upside risks to inflation cited in official communications, underpins the near-certain trader consensus that at least one rate increase will occur before year-end. Even so, sharply lower subsequent inflation prints, faster geopolitical de-escalation easing energy costs, or pronounced growth weakness could still prompt the Governing Council to pause or forgo further moves.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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