Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 10–12°C for Ankara's highest temperature on March 25, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicating a high-pressure ridge stabilizing over central Anatolia, with light southerly winds tempering cooler northerly outflows. Recent 00Z model runs show ECMWF leaning slightly warmer at 11–12°C due to better resolution of boundary layer mixing, while GFS variants cluster cooler near 10°C amid lingering stratiform cloud cover from upstream moisture. Historical March 25 highs average 12.5°C (1981–2020 Ankara data), but this year's La Niña-influenced patterns favor the lower end; watch Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and Ankara Airport observations for final differentiation as diurnal heating thresholds resolve.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on March 25?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 25?
11°C 23%
12°C 21%
10°C 18%
13°C 18%
6°C or below
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
8%
9°C
17%
10°C
18%
11°C
23%
12°C
21%
13°C
18%
14°C
15%
15°C
11%
16°C or higher
2%
11°C 23%
12°C 21%
10°C 18%
13°C 18%
6°C or below
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
8%
9°C
17%
10°C
18%
11°C
23%
12°C
21%
13°C
18%
14°C
15%
15°C
11%
16°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 10–12°C for Ankara's highest temperature on March 25, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicating a high-pressure ridge stabilizing over central Anatolia, with light southerly winds tempering cooler northerly outflows. Recent 00Z model runs show ECMWF leaning slightly warmer at 11–12°C due to better resolution of boundary layer mixing, while GFS variants cluster cooler near 10°C amid lingering stratiform cloud cover from upstream moisture. Historical March 25 highs average 12.5°C (1981–2020 Ankara data), but this year's La Niña-influenced patterns favor the lower end; watch Turkish State Meteorological Service updates and Ankara Airport observations for final differentiation as diurnal heating thresholds resolve.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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