Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 74°F or higher in Houston on April 12 (98.6% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts from the Houston/Galveston office projecting daytime highs of 77–80°F under a dominant high-pressure ridge aloft. This subtropical ridge pattern, confirmed by recent GFS and ECMWF model ensembles, promotes sunny skies, light southerly winds around 5–10 mph, and efficient daytime heating typical for mid-April climatology (historical average high near 79°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport). Observational data from April 11 already shows afternoon peaks near 79°F with minimal cloud interference. Realistic challenges include an unexpected surge of Gulf moisture causing persistent stratus clouds or isolated morning showers to suppress peaks below 74°F, though ensemble spreads indicate less than 2% likelihood; watch the 6 PM CDT NWS update for any late shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Houston on April 12?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 12?
74°F or higher 98.6%
72-73°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$25,977 Объем
$25,977 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74°F or higher
99%
74°F or higher 98.6%
72-73°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$25,977 Объем
$25,977 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
55°F or below
$8,526 Объем
<1%
56-57°F
$2,158 Объем
<1%
58-59°F
$1,765 Объем
<1%
60-61°F
$1,363 Объем
<1%
62-63°F
$1,236 Объем
<1%
64-65°F
$1,298 Объем
<1%
66-67°F
$1,246 Объем
<1%
68-69°F
$2,392 Объем
<1%
70-71°F
$1,034 Объем
<1%
72-73°F
$1,420 Объем
<1%
74°F or higher
$3,557 Объем
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 74°F or higher in Houston on April 12 (98.6% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts from the Houston/Galveston office projecting daytime highs of 77–80°F under a dominant high-pressure ridge aloft. This subtropical ridge pattern, confirmed by recent GFS and ECMWF model ensembles, promotes sunny skies, light southerly winds around 5–10 mph, and efficient daytime heating typical for mid-April climatology (historical average high near 79°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport). Observational data from April 11 already shows afternoon peaks near 79°F with minimal cloud interference. Realistic challenges include an unexpected surge of Gulf moisture causing persistent stratus clouds or isolated morning showers to suppress peaks below 74°F, though ensemble spreads indicate less than 2% likelihood; watch the 6 PM CDT NWS update for any late shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Объем
$25,977Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 74°F or higher in Houston on April 12 (98.6% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts from the Houston/Galveston office projecting daytime highs of 77–80°F under a dominant high-pressure ridge aloft. This subtropical ridge pattern, confirmed by recent GFS and ECMWF model ensembles, promotes sunny skies, light southerly winds around 5–10 mph, and efficient daytime heating typical for mid-April climatology (historical average high near 79°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport). Observational data from April 11 already shows afternoon peaks near 79°F with minimal cloud interference. Realistic challenges include an unexpected surge of Gulf moisture causing persistent stratus clouds or isolated morning showers to suppress peaks below 74°F, though ensemble spreads indicate less than 2% likelihood; watch the 6 PM CDT NWS update for any late shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$25,977Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 12:37 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 74°F or higher in Houston on April 12 (98.6% implied probability), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts from the Houston/Galveston office projecting daytime highs of 77–80°F under a dominant high-pressure ridge aloft. This subtropical ridge pattern, confirmed by recent GFS and ECMWF model ensembles, promotes sunny skies, light southerly winds around 5–10 mph, and efficient daytime heating typical for mid-April climatology (historical average high near 79°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport). Observational data from April 11 already shows afternoon peaks near 79°F with minimal cloud interference. Realistic challenges include an unexpected surge of Gulf moisture causing persistent stratus clouds or isolated morning showers to suppress peaks below 74°F, though ensemble spreads indicate less than 2% likelihood; watch the 6 PM CDT NWS update for any late shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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