Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 10-11°C as the highest temperature in London on March 25, driven by the latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging on peaks of 10-12°C under persistent cloud cover from a slow-moving low-pressure trough over the North Atlantic. This frontal system limits solar heating and advection of milder air, capping highs below the March historical average of 11°C at Heathrow, while differentiating lower odds for 9°C or below via subdued northeasterly winds avoiding colder outflows. GFS model runs show minor variance in afternoon cloud breaks, fueling the razor-thin race between 10°C (30.5%) and 11°C (31.0%), with final 12Z updates tomorrow potentially tipping the market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 25 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Лондоне 25 марта?
11°C 31%
10°C 31%
9°C 27%
12°C 12%
5°C или ниже
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
12%
8°C
10%
9°C
27%
10°C
31%
11°C
31%
12°C
12%
13°C
7%
14°C
3%
15°C или выше
2%
11°C 31%
10°C 31%
9°C 27%
12°C 12%
5°C или ниже
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
12%
8°C
10%
9°C
27%
10°C
31%
11°C
31%
12°C
12%
13°C
7%
14°C
3%
15°C или выше
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 21, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 10-11°C as the highest temperature in London on March 25, driven by the latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging on peaks of 10-12°C under persistent cloud cover from a slow-moving low-pressure trough over the North Atlantic. This frontal system limits solar heating and advection of milder air, capping highs below the March historical average of 11°C at Heathrow, while differentiating lower odds for 9°C or below via subdued northeasterly winds avoiding colder outflows. GFS model runs show minor variance in afternoon cloud breaks, fueling the razor-thin race between 10°C (30.5%) and 11°C (31.0%), with final 12Z updates tomorrow potentially tipping the market-implied odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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