Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts pinpoint London's March 22 high temperature at 13-14°C under mild westerly airflow from a high-pressure ridge, fueling trader consensus with 13°C (38.5%) edging 14°C (31.5%) amid tight model spread. Key differentiators include cloud cover uncertainty: persistent stratocumulus from a fading frontal boundary caps insolation at 13°C levels, while intermittent breaks could boost shortwave radiation for 14°C. Climatological norms average 11.5°C, but positive temperature anomalies and southerly wind components support above-normal odds. Final 00Z updates tomorrow may refine probabilities as synoptic patterns lock in.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лондоне 22 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Лондоне 22 марта?
13°C 38%
14°C 32%
12°C 13.5%
15°C 8%
$43,227 Объем
$43,227 Объем
7°C или ниже
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
14%
13°C
38%
14°C
32%
15°C
8%
16°C
2%
17°C или выше
1%
13°C 38%
14°C 32%
12°C 13.5%
15°C 8%
$43,227 Объем
$43,227 Объем
7°C или ниже
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
14%
13°C
38%
14°C
32%
15°C
8%
16°C
2%
17°C или выше
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 18, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts pinpoint London's March 22 high temperature at 13-14°C under mild westerly airflow from a high-pressure ridge, fueling trader consensus with 13°C (38.5%) edging 14°C (31.5%) amid tight model spread. Key differentiators include cloud cover uncertainty: persistent stratocumulus from a fading frontal boundary caps insolation at 13°C levels, while intermittent breaks could boost shortwave radiation for 14°C. Climatological norms average 11.5°C, but positive temperature anomalies and southerly wind components support above-normal odds. Final 00Z updates tomorrow may refine probabilities as synoptic patterns lock in.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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