Trader consensus favors a Houston high of 84-85°F at 32% implied probability, propelled by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast models projecting a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Texas, ushering in warm southerly winds from the Gulf of Mexico. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF diverges, with clusters around 82-87°F due to potential sea-breeze enhancement and minimal cloud cover, while lower odds for 90°F+ stem from risks of isolated thunderstorms or dryline activity capping peaks. Historical March averages hover near 78°F, but recent warm anomalies amplify upside potential; watch 12z model updates for shifts as diurnal heating and upper-level ridging solidify. High uncertainty reflects model spread and frontal timing variability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Houston on March 24?
Highest temperature in Houston on March 24?
84-85°F 32%
82-83°F 27%
86-87°F 17%
90-91°F 15%
75°F or below
8%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
12%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
9%
94°F or higher
8%
84-85°F 32%
82-83°F 27%
86-87°F 17%
90-91°F 15%
75°F or below
8%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
12%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
9%
94°F or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 6:14 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a Houston high of 84-85°F at 32% implied probability, propelled by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast models projecting a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Texas, ushering in warm southerly winds from the Gulf of Mexico. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF diverges, with clusters around 82-87°F due to potential sea-breeze enhancement and minimal cloud cover, while lower odds for 90°F+ stem from risks of isolated thunderstorms or dryline activity capping peaks. Historical March averages hover near 78°F, but recent warm anomalies amplify upside potential; watch 12z model updates for shifts as diurnal heating and upper-level ridging solidify. High uncertainty reflects model spread and frontal timing variability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы