Trader sentiment on Los Angeles' highest temperature March 24 reflects tight uncertainty in ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models, with the 30.5% implied odds for 84°F+ driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Southwest potentially amplifying downslope Santa Ana winds and minimizing marine layer intrusion. Closely trailing 78-79°F (24.5%) and 74-75°F (23%) odds stem from persistent onshore flow and coastal stratus clouds capping highs, as seen in recent 00Z runs showing temperature spreads of 6-10°F across guidance. Historical March norms around 68°F underscore the warm anomaly tied to fading El Niño influences, but NWS point forecasts near 82°F highlight resolution risks from afternoon clearing variability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on March 24?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 24?
84°F or higher 39%
78-79°F 25%
74-75°F 23%
76-77°F 23%
65°F or below
9%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
18%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
23%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
19%
84°F or higher
31%
84°F or higher 39%
78-79°F 25%
74-75°F 23%
76-77°F 23%
65°F or below
9%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
18%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
23%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
19%
84°F or higher
31%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Los Angeles' highest temperature March 24 reflects tight uncertainty in ensemble forecasts from NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models, with the 30.5% implied odds for 84°F+ driven by a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Southwest potentially amplifying downslope Santa Ana winds and minimizing marine layer intrusion. Closely trailing 78-79°F (24.5%) and 74-75°F (23%) odds stem from persistent onshore flow and coastal stratus clouds capping highs, as seen in recent 00Z runs showing temperature spreads of 6-10°F across guidance. Historical March norms around 68°F underscore the warm anomaly tied to fading El Niño influences, but NWS point forecasts near 82°F highlight resolution risks from afternoon clearing variability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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