Latest ensemble weather models from ECMWF and GFS, corroborated by Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, project Buenos Aires' March 24 high temperature clustering tightly between 23-26°C, fueling the even split in trader odds. This stems from a moderating post-frontal air mass following recent southerly winds, with sea surface temperatures off the Atlantic at 21-22°C suppressing extremes—historical March averages hover at 24°C, rarely exceeding 30°C this late in autumn. Divergences arise from model uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover: drier scenarios favor 25-26°C peaks around 3-5 PM local time, while increased low-level moisture tips toward 23°C or below. Traders eye tomorrow's 12Z updates for resolution shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 24?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 24?
26°C 23%
23°C or below 21%
25°C 18%
28°C 16%
23°C or below
21%
24°C
15%
25°C
18%
26°C
23%
27°C
15%
28°C
16%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
11%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
26°C 23%
23°C or below 21%
25°C 18%
28°C 16%
23°C or below
21%
24°C
15%
25°C
18%
26°C
23%
27°C
15%
28°C
16%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
11%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble weather models from ECMWF and GFS, corroborated by Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, project Buenos Aires' March 24 high temperature clustering tightly between 23-26°C, fueling the even split in trader odds. This stems from a moderating post-frontal air mass following recent southerly winds, with sea surface temperatures off the Atlantic at 21-22°C suppressing extremes—historical March averages hover at 24°C, rarely exceeding 30°C this late in autumn. Divergences arise from model uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover: drier scenarios favor 25-26°C peaks around 3-5 PM local time, while increased low-level moisture tips toward 23°C or below. Traders eye tomorrow's 12Z updates for resolution shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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