Trader consensus clusters around 24–26°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 22, with 24°C leading at 28% implied probability, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts averaging 24–25°C under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge and cool southerly winds suppressing afternoon heating. Differentiating factors include GFS's slight warm bias (nudging toward 26°C) versus ICON's cooler outlook (favoring 23–24°C), compounded by urban heat island effects at Ezeiza Airport's measurement site and typical March variability of ±2°C from 25°C climatological norms. SMN's afternoon update could shift odds as sea breeze timing remains uncertain, introducing low-confidence tails for extremes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 22?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 22?
24°C 26%
25°C 23%
26°C 21%
27°C 11%
20°C or below
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
11%
24°C
26%
25°C
23%
26°C
21%
27°C
11%
28°C
7%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
4%
24°C 26%
25°C 23%
26°C 21%
27°C 11%
20°C or below
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
11%
24°C
26%
25°C
23%
26°C
21%
27°C
11%
28°C
7%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 24–26°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 22, with 24°C leading at 28% implied probability, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts averaging 24–25°C under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge and cool southerly winds suppressing afternoon heating. Differentiating factors include GFS's slight warm bias (nudging toward 26°C) versus ICON's cooler outlook (favoring 23–24°C), compounded by urban heat island effects at Ezeiza Airport's measurement site and typical March variability of ±2°C from 25°C climatological norms. SMN's afternoon update could shift odds as sea breeze timing remains uncertain, introducing low-confidence tails for extremes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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