India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts have driven trader sentiment toward lower temperature outcomes, with models indicating near-normal to below-normal maximums over northern India, including Lucknow, through April 6 amid lingering effects of a recent western disturbance bringing cloud cover and gusty winds. Current implied probabilities cluster around 33°C or below (41%) and 34°C (31.5%), reflecting expectations of highs suppressed by patchy clouds and reduced solar insolation compared to clearer pre-monsoon conditions that often push early April averages to 36°C at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport. Key differentiators include forecast cloudiness levels and wind shear, which could cap peaks at 33-35°C, though rapid clearing might elevate to 36°C+; watch IMD's daily advisories for updates as resolution hinges on official airport readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лакхнау 6 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Лакхнау 6 апреля?
33°C или ниже 42%
34°C 30%
35°C 15%
36°C 8%
33°C или ниже
42%
34°C
30%
35°C
16%
36°C
8%
37°C
5%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C или выше
<1%
33°C или ниже 42%
34°C 30%
35°C 15%
36°C 8%
33°C или ниже
42%
34°C
30%
35°C
16%
36°C
8%
37°C
5%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts have driven trader sentiment toward lower temperature outcomes, with models indicating near-normal to below-normal maximums over northern India, including Lucknow, through April 6 amid lingering effects of a recent western disturbance bringing cloud cover and gusty winds. Current implied probabilities cluster around 33°C or below (41%) and 34°C (31.5%), reflecting expectations of highs suppressed by patchy clouds and reduced solar insolation compared to clearer pre-monsoon conditions that often push early April averages to 36°C at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport. Key differentiators include forecast cloudiness levels and wind shear, which could cap peaks at 33-35°C, though rapid clearing might elevate to 36°C+; watch IMD's daily advisories for updates as resolution hinges on official airport readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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