The 93% market-implied probability for a highest temperature of 11°C or higher in Moscow on April 13 reflects strong consensus from ensemble forecasts by ECMWF, GFS, and services like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com, projecting daytime highs around 11–13°C amid a high-pressure ridge bringing milder air after earlier cold snaps (highs near 4°C on April 10). Partial cloudiness and light winds support sufficient insolation for these levels, aligning with mid-April climatological averages of 10–12°C at Vnukovo Airport stations. While robust model agreement prevails, realistic challenges include persistent overcast skies capping solar heating or a sudden northerly airflow introducing cooler air, with overnight updates potentially refining guidance ahead of tomorrow's observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on April 13?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 13?
11°C or higher 92%
10°C 3.7%
8°C 2.1%
9°C 2.1%
$13,870 Объем
$13,870 Объем
1°C or below
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
4%
11°C or higher
92%
11°C or higher 92%
10°C 3.7%
8°C 2.1%
9°C 2.1%
$13,870 Объем
$13,870 Объем
1°C or below
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
4%
11°C or higher
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 93% market-implied probability for a highest temperature of 11°C or higher in Moscow on April 13 reflects strong consensus from ensemble forecasts by ECMWF, GFS, and services like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com, projecting daytime highs around 11–13°C amid a high-pressure ridge bringing milder air after earlier cold snaps (highs near 4°C on April 10). Partial cloudiness and light winds support sufficient insolation for these levels, aligning with mid-April climatological averages of 10–12°C at Vnukovo Airport stations. While robust model agreement prevails, realistic challenges include persistent overcast skies capping solar heating or a sudden northerly airflow introducing cooler air, with overnight updates potentially refining guidance ahead of tomorrow's observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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