Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 10°C (44.5% implied probability) as Moscow's highest temperature today, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles forecasting a maximum of 9-11°C at Vnukovo International Airport, the official resolution site per NOAA observations. Persistent cloud cover and light easterly winds—evident in recent Russian Hydrometeorological Center updates—limit solar heating, capping daytime highs amid stable high pressure around 756 mmHg. This aligns with AccuWeather's 11°C outlook under partly cloudy skies and Meteum.ai's afternoon peak of +11°C, feels-like +8°C. After record-warm late March (17.5°C on March 31), cooler northwest flows have normalized spring patterns near climatological 10°C averages, with ±1-2°C model spreads explaining strong support for 9°C (22%) and 11°C (25.5%). Hourly NOAA data releases today will refine probabilities as conditions evolve.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on April 12?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 12?
10°C 44%
11°C 29%
9°C 22%
8°C 4.9%
$20,685 Объем
$20,685 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
7°C or below
1%
8°C
5%
9°C
22%
10°C
44%
11°C
29%
12°C
4%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
10°C 44%
11°C 29%
9°C 22%
8°C 4.9%
$20,685 Объем
$20,685 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
7°C or below
$2,578 Объем
1%
8°C
$2,331 Объем
5%
9°C
$2,049 Объем
22%
10°C
$1,631 Объем
44%
11°C
$1,958 Объем
29%
12°C
$1,098 Объем
4%
13°C
$1,550 Объем
<1%
14°C
$2,510 Объем
<1%
15°C
$1,842 Объем
<1%
16°C
$1,300 Объем
<1%
17°C or higher
$1,839 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 10°C (44.5% implied probability) as Moscow's highest temperature today, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles forecasting a maximum of 9-11°C at Vnukovo International Airport, the official resolution site per NOAA observations. Persistent cloud cover and light easterly winds—evident in recent Russian Hydrometeorological Center updates—limit solar heating, capping daytime highs amid stable high pressure around 756 mmHg. This aligns with AccuWeather's 11°C outlook under partly cloudy skies and Meteum.ai's afternoon peak of +11°C, feels-like +8°C. After record-warm late March (17.5°C on March 31), cooler northwest flows have normalized spring patterns near climatological 10°C averages, with ±1-2°C model spreads explaining strong support for 9°C (22%) and 11°C (25.5%). Hourly NOAA data releases today will refine probabilities as conditions evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 8, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Объем
$20,685Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 10°C (44.5% implied probability) as Moscow's highest temperature today, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles forecasting a maximum of 9-11°C at Vnukovo International Airport, the official resolution site per NOAA observations. Persistent cloud cover and light easterly winds—evident in recent Russian Hydrometeorological Center updates—limit solar heating, capping daytime highs amid stable high pressure around 756 mmHg. This aligns with AccuWeather's 11°C outlook under partly cloudy skies and Meteum.ai's afternoon peak of +11°C, feels-like +8°C. After record-warm late March (17.5°C on March 31), cooler northwest flows have normalized spring patterns near climatological 10°C averages, with ±1-2°C model spreads explaining strong support for 9°C (22%) and 11°C (25.5%). Hourly NOAA data releases today will refine probabilities as conditions evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$20,685Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 8, 2026, 12:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 10°C (44.5% implied probability) as Moscow's highest temperature today, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model ensembles forecasting a maximum of 9-11°C at Vnukovo International Airport, the official resolution site per NOAA observations. Persistent cloud cover and light easterly winds—evident in recent Russian Hydrometeorological Center updates—limit solar heating, capping daytime highs amid stable high pressure around 756 mmHg. This aligns with AccuWeather's 11°C outlook under partly cloudy skies and Meteum.ai's afternoon peak of +11°C, feels-like +8°C. After record-warm late March (17.5°C on March 31), cooler northwest flows have normalized spring patterns near climatological 10°C averages, with ±1-2°C model spreads explaining strong support for 9°C (22%) and 11°C (25.5%). Hourly NOAA data releases today will refine probabilities as conditions evolve.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы