Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 60-61°F at 28% implied probability for San Francisco on April 13, closely trailed by 58-59°F at 24.5% and 62-63°F at 20.5%, mirroring National Weather Service forecasts of highs near 61°F amid showers, possible thunderstorms, and southwest winds around 13 mph. This tight clustering reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs indicating persistent marine layer and onshore flow—hallmarks of springtime Bay Area meteorology—capping intensities after an early April warm spell with record highs. Differentiating factors include cloud cover duration and shower timing: prolonged stratus could suppress to 58-59°F, while afternoon clearing might boost to 62-63°F. New NWS advisories expected Sunday morning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 13?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 13?
60-61°F 27%
58-59°F 26%
62-63°F 21%
64-65°F 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 апр. 2026 г.
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
6%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
27%
62-63°F
21%
64-65°F
16%
66°F or higher
12%
60-61°F 27%
58-59°F 26%
62-63°F 21%
64-65°F 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
13 апр. 2026 г.
47°F or below
$520 Объем
<1%
48-49°F
$1,152 Объем
<1%
50-51°F
$461 Объем
<1%
52-53°F
$794 Объем
1%
54-55°F
$365 Объем
2%
56-57°F
$353 Объем
6%
58-59°F
$545 Объем
26%
60-61°F
$328 Объем
27%
62-63°F
$252 Объем
21%
64-65°F
$258 Объем
16%
66°F or higher
$499 Объем
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 60-61°F at 28% implied probability for San Francisco on April 13, closely trailed by 58-59°F at 24.5% and 62-63°F at 20.5%, mirroring National Weather Service forecasts of highs near 61°F amid showers, possible thunderstorms, and southwest winds around 13 mph. This tight clustering reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs indicating persistent marine layer and onshore flow—hallmarks of springtime Bay Area meteorology—capping intensities after an early April warm spell with record highs. Differentiating factors include cloud cover duration and shower timing: prolonged stratus could suppress to 58-59°F, while afternoon clearing might boost to 62-63°F. New NWS advisories expected Sunday morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Объем
$5,527Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 60-61°F at 28% implied probability for San Francisco on April 13, closely trailed by 58-59°F at 24.5% and 62-63°F at 20.5%, mirroring National Weather Service forecasts of highs near 61°F amid showers, possible thunderstorms, and southwest winds around 13 mph. This tight clustering reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs indicating persistent marine layer and onshore flow—hallmarks of springtime Bay Area meteorology—capping intensities after an early April warm spell with record highs. Differentiating factors include cloud cover duration and shower timing: prolonged stratus could suppress to 58-59°F, while afternoon clearing might boost to 62-63°F. New NWS advisories expected Sunday morning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$5,527Дата окончания
13 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 60-61°F at 28% implied probability for San Francisco on April 13, closely trailed by 58-59°F at 24.5% and 62-63°F at 20.5%, mirroring National Weather Service forecasts of highs near 61°F amid showers, possible thunderstorms, and southwest winds around 13 mph. This tight clustering reflects model consensus from recent GFS and ECMWF runs indicating persistent marine layer and onshore flow—hallmarks of springtime Bay Area meteorology—capping intensities after an early April warm spell with record highs. Differentiating factors include cloud cover duration and shower timing: prolonged stratus could suppress to 58-59°F, while afternoon clearing might boost to 62-63°F. New NWS advisories expected Sunday morning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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