Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 17–19°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fueling an early-season heatwave, with daytime highs 5–10°C above seasonal norms of 18°C. This drives trader consensus toward 18°C or higher at 41.5% implied probability, reflecting model agreement from recent runs amid warm air advection from the south, though discrete bets on 17°C (18.5%), 16°C (17.5%), and 15°C (18.0%) price in uncertainty from potential cloud cover or northerly gusts. Record or near-record April highs through April 14–15, like 27°C regionally, have solidified expectations for sustained warmth through April 20; watch KMA's next update on April 16 for refined guidance as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Seoul on April 17?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 17?
18°C or higher 44%
17°C 19%
15°C 18%
16°C 18%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 апр. 2026 г.
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
12%
15°C
18%
16°C
18%
17°C
19%
18°C or higher
44%
18°C or higher 44%
17°C 19%
15°C 18%
16°C 18%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 апр. 2026 г.
8°C or below
$528 Объем
1%
9°C
$634 Объем
1%
10°C
$506 Объем
1%
11°C
$372 Объем
1%
12°C
$202 Объем
1%
13°C
$526 Объем
2%
14°C
$571 Объем
12%
15°C
$124 Объем
18%
16°C
$107 Объем
18%
17°C
$184 Объем
19%
18°C or higher
$507 Объем
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 17–19°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fueling an early-season heatwave, with daytime highs 5–10°C above seasonal norms of 18°C. This drives trader consensus toward 18°C or higher at 41.5% implied probability, reflecting model agreement from recent runs amid warm air advection from the south, though discrete bets on 17°C (18.5%), 16°C (17.5%), and 15°C (18.0%) price in uncertainty from potential cloud cover or northerly gusts. Record or near-record April highs through April 14–15, like 27°C regionally, have solidified expectations for sustained warmth through April 20; watch KMA's next update on April 16 for refined guidance as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Объем
$4,161Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 17–19°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fueling an early-season heatwave, with daytime highs 5–10°C above seasonal norms of 18°C. This drives trader consensus toward 18°C or higher at 41.5% implied probability, reflecting model agreement from recent runs amid warm air advection from the south, though discrete bets on 17°C (18.5%), 16°C (17.5%), and 15°C (18.0%) price in uncertainty from potential cloud cover or northerly gusts. Record or near-record April highs through April 14–15, like 27°C regionally, have solidified expectations for sustained warmth through April 20; watch KMA's next update on April 16 for refined guidance as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$4,161Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 17–19°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fueling an early-season heatwave, with daytime highs 5–10°C above seasonal norms of 18°C. This drives trader consensus toward 18°C or higher at 41.5% implied probability, reflecting model agreement from recent runs amid warm air advection from the south, though discrete bets on 17°C (18.5%), 16°C (17.5%), and 15°C (18.0%) price in uncertainty from potential cloud cover or northerly gusts. Record or near-record April highs through April 14–15, like 27°C regionally, have solidified expectations for sustained warmth through April 20; watch KMA's next update on April 16 for refined guidance as resolution nears.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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