Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering around 25–26°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 15 at the Capital International Airport station, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration and global model runs (GFS, ECMWF) projecting partly cloudy skies with highs of 26–27°C under a building high-pressure ridge ushering southerly winds and above-normal spring warmth. Recent observations show a warming trend, with April 11 highs near 23°C amid fine conditions, boosting confidence in continued heating despite climatological April averages of 20–22°C. Differentiating factors include minor model spreads on afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, where increased insolation could push to 26°C while thicker clouds cap at 25°C; new hourly updates expected overnight will refine this uncertainty ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on April 15?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 15?
25°C 32%
26°C 30%
24°C 22%
23°C 14.6%
НОВОЕ
$38,665 Объем
НОВОЕ
$38,665 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
15%
24°C
22%
25°C
32%
26°C
30%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 32%
26°C 30%
24°C 22%
23°C 14.6%
НОВОЕ
$38,665 Объем
НОВОЕ
$38,665 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
21°C or below
$9,546 Объем
1%
22°C
$3,912 Объем
2%
23°C
$4,001 Объем
15%
24°C
$2,926 Объем
22%
25°C
$2,792 Объем
32%
26°C
$1,761 Объем
30%
27°C
$3,075 Объем
4%
28°C
$3,022 Объем
2%
29°C
$4,251 Объем
1%
30°C
$2,607 Объем
<1%
31°C or higher
$770 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering around 25–26°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 15 at the Capital International Airport station, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration and global model runs (GFS, ECMWF) projecting partly cloudy skies with highs of 26–27°C under a building high-pressure ridge ushering southerly winds and above-normal spring warmth. Recent observations show a warming trend, with April 11 highs near 23°C amid fine conditions, boosting confidence in continued heating despite climatological April averages of 20–22°C. Differentiating factors include minor model spreads on afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, where increased insolation could push to 26°C while thicker clouds cap at 25°C; new hourly updates expected overnight will refine this uncertainty ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Объем
$38,665Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering around 25–26°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 15 at the Capital International Airport station, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration and global model runs (GFS, ECMWF) projecting partly cloudy skies with highs of 26–27°C under a building high-pressure ridge ushering southerly winds and above-normal spring warmth. Recent observations show a warming trend, with April 11 highs near 23°C amid fine conditions, boosting confidence in continued heating despite climatological April averages of 20–22°C. Differentiating factors include minor model spreads on afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, where increased insolation could push to 26°C while thicker clouds cap at 25°C; new hourly updates expected overnight will refine this uncertainty ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$38,665Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering around 25–26°C for Beijing's highest temperature on April 15 at the Capital International Airport station, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration and global model runs (GFS, ECMWF) projecting partly cloudy skies with highs of 26–27°C under a building high-pressure ridge ushering southerly winds and above-normal spring warmth. Recent observations show a warming trend, with April 11 highs near 23°C amid fine conditions, boosting confidence in continued heating despite climatological April averages of 20–22°C. Differentiating factors include minor model spreads on afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, where increased insolation could push to 26°C while thicker clouds cap at 25°C; new hourly updates expected overnight will refine this uncertainty ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы