Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles place Seoul's April 15 high temperature in a tight 19-21°C range, driving closely matched trader probabilities reflecting model spread rather than outright consensus. Leading 20°C odds stem from scenarios with sustained daytime solar heating under light winds and partial clearing, while 19°C edges from potential afternoon cloud buildup suppressing peaks; 21°C+ hinges on stronger southerly flow or urban heat amplification. Mid-April climatology averages 18°C highs, with variability tied to East Asian jet stream positioning and low-level moisture. Updated model runs expected overnight could sharpen differentiation before observations resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Seoul on April 15?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 15?
21°C or higher 29.1%
20°C 28%
19°C 26%
18°C 15%
НОВОЕ
$185,213 Объем
НОВОЕ
$185,213 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
15%
19°C
26%
20°C
28%
21°C or higher
29%
21°C or higher 29.1%
20°C 28%
19°C 26%
18°C 15%
НОВОЕ
$185,213 Объем
НОВОЕ
$185,213 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
12°C
$10,831 Объем
<1%
13°C
$11,649 Объем
<1%
14°C
$15,771 Объем
<1%
15°C
$15,863 Объем
1%
16°C
$16,328 Объем
3%
17°C
$20,015 Объем
4%
18°C
$16,370 Объем
15%
19°C
$11,057 Объем
26%
20°C
$8,683 Объем
28%
21°C or higher
$31,340 Объем
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles place Seoul's April 15 high temperature in a tight 19-21°C range, driving closely matched trader probabilities reflecting model spread rather than outright consensus. Leading 20°C odds stem from scenarios with sustained daytime solar heating under light winds and partial clearing, while 19°C edges from potential afternoon cloud buildup suppressing peaks; 21°C+ hinges on stronger southerly flow or urban heat amplification. Mid-April climatology averages 18°C highs, with variability tied to East Asian jet stream positioning and low-level moisture. Updated model runs expected overnight could sharpen differentiation before observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Объем
$185,213Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles place Seoul's April 15 high temperature in a tight 19-21°C range, driving closely matched trader probabilities reflecting model spread rather than outright consensus. Leading 20°C odds stem from scenarios with sustained daytime solar heating under light winds and partial clearing, while 19°C edges from potential afternoon cloud buildup suppressing peaks; 21°C+ hinges on stronger southerly flow or urban heat amplification. Mid-April climatology averages 18°C highs, with variability tied to East Asian jet stream positioning and low-level moisture. Updated model runs expected overnight could sharpen differentiation before observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$185,213Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles place Seoul's April 15 high temperature in a tight 19-21°C range, driving closely matched trader probabilities reflecting model spread rather than outright consensus. Leading 20°C odds stem from scenarios with sustained daytime solar heating under light winds and partial clearing, while 19°C edges from potential afternoon cloud buildup suppressing peaks; 21°C+ hinges on stronger southerly flow or urban heat amplification. Mid-April climatology averages 18°C highs, with variability tied to East Asian jet stream positioning and low-level moisture. Updated model runs expected overnight could sharpen differentiation before observations resolve the market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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