Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Jeddah's highest temperature on April 15 around 34–36°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport, fueling the tight race among outcomes with 34°C leading at 31.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 35°C (26.5%) and 36°C or higher (22.5%). This trader consensus reflects model spread amid persistent high-pressure subsidence promoting daytime heating, tempered by Red Sea sea breezes that could moderate peaks below 35°C or allow brief spikes above if onshore winds weaken. Recent observations show a rebound from cooler highs near 31°C on April 13, aligning with seasonal April climatology averaging 34–35°C. New model runs expected overnight may refine these probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Jeddah on April 15?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 15?
34°C 32%
35°C 27%
33°C 22%
36°C or higher 22%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
16%
34°C
32%
35°C
27%
36°C or higher
22%
34°C 32%
35°C 27%
33°C 22%
36°C or higher 22%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
16%
34°C
32%
35°C
27%
36°C or higher
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Jeddah's highest temperature on April 15 around 34–36°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport, fueling the tight race among outcomes with 34°C leading at 31.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 35°C (26.5%) and 36°C or higher (22.5%). This trader consensus reflects model spread amid persistent high-pressure subsidence promoting daytime heating, tempered by Red Sea sea breezes that could moderate peaks below 35°C or allow brief spikes above if onshore winds weaken. Recent observations show a rebound from cooler highs near 31°C on April 13, aligning with seasonal April climatology averaging 34–35°C. New model runs expected overnight may refine these probabilities before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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