The National Hurricane Center, or NHC, no—wait, for temp. Latest guidance from Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) Hybrid 1.0 model projects a daytime high of 18.7°C in Warsaw on April 15, under a high-pressure ridge fostering mild spring conditions with moderate winds (5-19 km/h) and minimal precipitation (under 1 mm). This strong forecast consensus across ECMWF and GFS ensembles, updated in the past 24 hours, reflects southerly airflow advecting warmer continental air amid above-normal recent temperatures over Central Europe. Trader-implied odds at 87.5% for 15°C or higher capture this low-uncertainty outlook, with minor probabilities for 14°C tied to potential cloud-induced cooling. Hourly observations will refine final tallies as the event unfolds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 15?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 15?
15°C or higher 86%
14°C 8.1%
13°C 2.1%
11°C <1%
$81,349 Объем
$81,349 Объем
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
8%
15°C or higher
86%
15°C or higher 86%
14°C 8.1%
13°C 2.1%
11°C <1%
$81,349 Объем
$81,349 Объем
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
8%
15°C or higher
86%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Hurricane Center, or NHC, no—wait, for temp. Latest guidance from Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) Hybrid 1.0 model projects a daytime high of 18.7°C in Warsaw on April 15, under a high-pressure ridge fostering mild spring conditions with moderate winds (5-19 km/h) and minimal precipitation (under 1 mm). This strong forecast consensus across ECMWF and GFS ensembles, updated in the past 24 hours, reflects southerly airflow advecting warmer continental air amid above-normal recent temperatures over Central Europe. Trader-implied odds at 87.5% for 15°C or higher capture this low-uncertainty outlook, with minor probabilities for 14°C tied to potential cloud-induced cooling. Hourly observations will refine final tallies as the event unfolds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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