Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Lagos' highest temperature on April 15, with models like Ventusky projecting 32°C under 90% cloud cover and 70% precipitation chance from convective thunderstorms, while AccuWeather hints at potential 35-36°C peaks amid mostly cloudy conditions. NiMet's April 2026 outlook flags warmer-than-historical averages (typically 32°C per NOAA baselines) during the rainy season transition, amplified by urban heat island effects at Ikeja's measurement site and variable sea breeze strength from the south. Differentiation hinges on afternoon cloud development suppressing peaks below 33°C or partial clearing allowing 34°C; expect NiMet updates and real-time observations to resolve swings before evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Lagos on April 15?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 15?
33°C 31%
32°C 28%
34°C 27%
35°C 14%
НОВОЕ
$25,495 Объем
НОВОЕ
$25,495 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
7%
32°C
27%
33°C
31%
34°C
33%
35°C
14%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 31%
32°C 28%
34°C 27%
35°C 14%
НОВОЕ
$25,495 Объем
НОВОЕ
$25,495 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
27°C or below
$4,574 Объем
<1%
28°C
$2,172 Объем
<1%
29°C
$1,776 Объем
<1%
30°C
$7,669 Объем
<1%
31°C
$1,503 Объем
7%
32°C
$279 Объем
27%
33°C
$269 Объем
31%
34°C
$245 Объем
33%
35°C
$235 Объем
14%
36°C
$920 Объем
3%
37°C or higher
$5,872 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Lagos' highest temperature on April 15, with models like Ventusky projecting 32°C under 90% cloud cover and 70% precipitation chance from convective thunderstorms, while AccuWeather hints at potential 35-36°C peaks amid mostly cloudy conditions. NiMet's April 2026 outlook flags warmer-than-historical averages (typically 32°C per NOAA baselines) during the rainy season transition, amplified by urban heat island effects at Ikeja's measurement site and variable sea breeze strength from the south. Differentiation hinges on afternoon cloud development suppressing peaks below 33°C or partial clearing allowing 34°C; expect NiMet updates and real-time observations to resolve swings before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ET
Объем
$25,495Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Lagos' highest temperature on April 15, with models like Ventusky projecting 32°C under 90% cloud cover and 70% precipitation chance from convective thunderstorms, while AccuWeather hints at potential 35-36°C peaks amid mostly cloudy conditions. NiMet's April 2026 outlook flags warmer-than-historical averages (typically 32°C per NOAA baselines) during the rainy season transition, amplified by urban heat island effects at Ikeja's measurement site and variable sea breeze strength from the south. Differentiation hinges on afternoon cloud development suppressing peaks below 33°C or partial clearing allowing 34°C; expect NiMet updates and real-time observations to resolve swings before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$25,495Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 1:00 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Lagos' highest temperature on April 15, with models like Ventusky projecting 32°C under 90% cloud cover and 70% precipitation chance from convective thunderstorms, while AccuWeather hints at potential 35-36°C peaks amid mostly cloudy conditions. NiMet's April 2026 outlook flags warmer-than-historical averages (typically 32°C per NOAA baselines) during the rainy season transition, amplified by urban heat island effects at Ikeja's measurement site and variable sea breeze strength from the south. Differentiation hinges on afternoon cloud development suppressing peaks below 33°C or partial clearing allowing 34°C; expect NiMet updates and real-time observations to resolve swings before evening.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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