Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 23°C (35% implied probability), 25°C or higher (28%), and 24°C (22%), reflecting divergent Korea Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF for Busan on April 15 amid an unseasonal high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula. This system has driven recent daytime highs 5–7°C above the 18°C April climatological average, as seen in April 11–14 readings nearing 23°C at Gimhae International Airport, Busan's official station, fueled by subsiding air, light southerly winds, and warm advection from elevated sea surface temperatures offshore. Key differentiators include morning cloud remnants from a departing front potentially capping peaks at 23°C via reduced insolation, versus rapid diurnal heating under clearing skies pushing toward 25°C; low precipitation risk (under 25%) favors the warmer cluster. Monitor KMA's evening update and early April 15 observations for resolution shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Busan on April 15?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 15?
23°C 36.4%
25°C or higher 22.6%
24°C 22.0%
22°C 22%
НОВОЕ
$19,296 Объем
НОВОЕ
$19,296 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
22%
23°C
36%
24°C
22%
25°C or higher
23%
23°C 36.4%
25°C or higher 22.6%
24°C 22.0%
22°C 22%
НОВОЕ
$19,296 Объем
НОВОЕ
$19,296 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
15°C or below
$854 Объем
<1%
16°C
$963 Объем
<1%
17°C
$2,407 Объем
<1%
18°C
$2,617 Объем
<1%
19°C
$1,967 Объем
<1%
20°C
$2,384 Объем
2%
21°C
$2,017 Объем
8%
22°C
$825 Объем
22%
23°C
$990 Объем
36%
24°C
$2,089 Объем
22%
25°C or higher
$2,183 Объем
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 23°C (35% implied probability), 25°C or higher (28%), and 24°C (22%), reflecting divergent Korea Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF for Busan on April 15 amid an unseasonal high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula. This system has driven recent daytime highs 5–7°C above the 18°C April climatological average, as seen in April 11–14 readings nearing 23°C at Gimhae International Airport, Busan's official station, fueled by subsiding air, light southerly winds, and warm advection from elevated sea surface temperatures offshore. Key differentiators include morning cloud remnants from a departing front potentially capping peaks at 23°C via reduced insolation, versus rapid diurnal heating under clearing skies pushing toward 25°C; low precipitation risk (under 25%) favors the warmer cluster. Monitor KMA's evening update and early April 15 observations for resolution shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Объем
$19,296Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 23°C (35% implied probability), 25°C or higher (28%), and 24°C (22%), reflecting divergent Korea Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF for Busan on April 15 amid an unseasonal high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula. This system has driven recent daytime highs 5–7°C above the 18°C April climatological average, as seen in April 11–14 readings nearing 23°C at Gimhae International Airport, Busan's official station, fueled by subsiding air, light southerly winds, and warm advection from elevated sea surface temperatures offshore. Key differentiators include morning cloud remnants from a departing front potentially capping peaks at 23°C via reduced insolation, versus rapid diurnal heating under clearing skies pushing toward 25°C; low precipitation risk (under 25%) favors the warmer cluster. Monitor KMA's evening update and early April 15 observations for resolution shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$19,296Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 23°C (35% implied probability), 25°C or higher (28%), and 24°C (22%), reflecting divergent Korea Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF for Busan on April 15 amid an unseasonal high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula. This system has driven recent daytime highs 5–7°C above the 18°C April climatological average, as seen in April 11–14 readings nearing 23°C at Gimhae International Airport, Busan's official station, fueled by subsiding air, light southerly winds, and warm advection from elevated sea surface temperatures offshore. Key differentiators include morning cloud remnants from a departing front potentially capping peaks at 23°C via reduced insolation, versus rapid diurnal heating under clearing skies pushing toward 25°C; low precipitation risk (under 25%) favors the warmer cluster. Monitor KMA's evening update and early April 15 observations for resolution shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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