Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 29°C (34.5%) and 30°C (35.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 15, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast projecting a peak around 29-30°C amid persistent southerly winds of 16-24 km/h drawing warm air from the South China Sea and mostly clear skies maximizing solar insolation. Global model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF cluster in the 28-30°C range, with minor divergences on exact peak timing and potential afternoon cloud buildup differentiating the outcomes—slight wind weakening could nudge toward 30°C, while isolated showers might cap at 29°C. Above the April climatological average of 26-28°C, this stems from a strengthening subtropical ridge; final CMA updates today and official observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport will sharpen resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 15?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 15?
30°C 36%
29°C 33%
31°C 15%
28°C 13.4%
$37,034 Объем
$37,034 Объем
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
13%
29°C
33%
30°C
36%
31°C
15%
32°C or higher
2%
30°C 36%
29°C 33%
31°C 15%
28°C 13.4%
$37,034 Объем
$37,034 Объем
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
13%
29°C
33%
30°C
36%
31°C
15%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 29°C (34.5%) and 30°C (35.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 15, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast projecting a peak around 29-30°C amid persistent southerly winds of 16-24 km/h drawing warm air from the South China Sea and mostly clear skies maximizing solar insolation. Global model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF cluster in the 28-30°C range, with minor divergences on exact peak timing and potential afternoon cloud buildup differentiating the outcomes—slight wind weakening could nudge toward 30°C, while isolated showers might cap at 29°C. Above the April climatological average of 26-28°C, this stems from a strengthening subtropical ridge; final CMA updates today and official observations at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport will sharpen resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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