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Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 15?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 15?

апр. 15

апр. 15

32°C 39%

31°C 26%

33°C 26%

34°C or higher 8%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$17,976 Объем

32°C 39%

31°C 26%

33°C 26%

34°C or higher 8%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$17,976 Объем

25°C

$3,449 Объем

<1%

26°C

$2,885 Объем

<1%

27°C

$1,011 Объем

<1%

28°C

$883 Объем

<1%

29°C

$1,415 Объем

2%

30°C

$2,215 Объем

6%

31°C

$643 Объем

26%

32°C

$1,111 Объем

39%

33°C

$986 Объем

26%

34°C or higher

$2,086 Объем

8%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Jakarta high of 32°C (39.5% implied probability) for April 15, driven by the latest Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) forecast indicating daytime highs of 30–32°C amid partly cloudy conditions, light morning rain, and potential afternoon showers in southern districts. This aligns with April's climatological average high of around 32°C in Jakarta's tropical maritime climate, where urban heat island effects and high humidity often sustain peaks despite cloud cover—evident in yesterday's 32°C reading under patchy rain. Probabilities taper for 31°C (26%) and 33°C (25.5%) due to uncertainty in convective activity capping or boosting temperatures, with official observations resolving the market by day's end. BMKG updates today could refine model consensus.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$17,976
Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:36 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Jakarta high of 32°C (39.5% implied probability) for April 15, driven by the latest Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) forecast indicating daytime highs of 30–32°C amid partly cloudy conditions, light morning rain, and potential afternoon showers in southern districts. This aligns with April's climatological average high of around 32°C in Jakarta's tropical maritime climate, where urban heat island effects and high humidity often sustain peaks despite cloud cover—evident in yesterday's 32°C reading under patchy rain. Probabilities taper for 31°C (26%) and 33°C (25.5%) due to uncertainty in convective activity capping or boosting temperatures, with official observations resolving the market by day's end. BMKG updates today could refine model consensus.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$17,976
Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:36 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 15?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «32°C» с 39%, за ним следует «31°C» с 26%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 39¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 39%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 15?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $18K с момента запуска рынка Apr 13, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 15?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 15?» — «32°C» с 39%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 39%. Следующий ближайший исход — «31°C» с 26%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 15?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.