Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) center Shanghai's highest temperature on April 15 around 19-20°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with light northerly winds, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus splitting implied probabilities nearly evenly between 20°C or higher (41.5%) and exactly 19°C (40.5%). This tight model spread of about 2°C reflects uncertainty in cloud cover, which could limit daytime insolation and cap highs at 19°C, versus clearer breaks or urban heat island effects pushing toward 20°C amid April's climatological norms of 18-19°C highs. Recent post-frontal warming after earlier cool snaps has elevated temperatures above seasonal baselines, with China Meteorological Administration guidance aligning near 21°C but ensembles tempering expectations; watch morning soundings and satellite imagery for resolution-defining clarity by midday.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 15?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 15?
19°C 41%
20°C or higher 40%
18°C 10%
17°C 2.6%
НОВОЕ
$59,670 Объем
НОВОЕ
$59,670 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
10%
19°C
41%
20°C or higher
40%
19°C 41%
20°C or higher 40%
18°C 10%
17°C 2.6%
НОВОЕ
$59,670 Объем
НОВОЕ
$59,670 Объем
15 апр. 2026 г.
10°C or below
$4,487 Объем
<1%
11°C
$11,673 Объем
<1%
12°C
$3,822 Объем
<1%
13°C
$2,494 Объем
<1%
14°C
$2,613 Объем
<1%
15°C
$4,775 Объем
1%
16°C
$4,731 Объем
1%
17°C
$8,255 Объем
3%
18°C
$7,765 Объем
10%
19°C
$2,675 Объем
41%
20°C or higher
$6,432 Объем
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) center Shanghai's highest temperature on April 15 around 19-20°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with light northerly winds, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus splitting implied probabilities nearly evenly between 20°C or higher (41.5%) and exactly 19°C (40.5%). This tight model spread of about 2°C reflects uncertainty in cloud cover, which could limit daytime insolation and cap highs at 19°C, versus clearer breaks or urban heat island effects pushing toward 20°C amid April's climatological norms of 18-19°C highs. Recent post-frontal warming after earlier cool snaps has elevated temperatures above seasonal baselines, with China Meteorological Administration guidance aligning near 21°C but ensembles tempering expectations; watch morning soundings and satellite imagery for resolution-defining clarity by midday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$59,670Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) center Shanghai's highest temperature on April 15 around 19-20°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with light northerly winds, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus splitting implied probabilities nearly evenly between 20°C or higher (41.5%) and exactly 19°C (40.5%). This tight model spread of about 2°C reflects uncertainty in cloud cover, which could limit daytime insolation and cap highs at 19°C, versus clearer breaks or urban heat island effects pushing toward 20°C amid April's climatological norms of 18-19°C highs. Recent post-frontal warming after earlier cool snaps has elevated temperatures above seasonal baselines, with China Meteorological Administration guidance aligning near 21°C but ensembles tempering expectations; watch morning soundings and satellite imagery for resolution-defining clarity by midday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$59,670Дата окончания
15 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 13, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) center Shanghai's highest temperature on April 15 around 19-20°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with light northerly winds, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus splitting implied probabilities nearly evenly between 20°C or higher (41.5%) and exactly 19°C (40.5%). This tight model spread of about 2°C reflects uncertainty in cloud cover, which could limit daytime insolation and cap highs at 19°C, versus clearer breaks or urban heat island effects pushing toward 20°C amid April's climatological norms of 18-19°C highs. Recent post-frontal warming after earlier cool snaps has elevated temperatures above seasonal baselines, with China Meteorological Administration guidance aligning near 21°C but ensembles tempering expectations; watch morning soundings and satellite imagery for resolution-defining clarity by midday.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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