Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Austin high of 80°F or higher at 91.5%, aligning with the National Weather Service's latest forecast of 84°F on April 15 under persistent warm, humid conditions with south winds around 5-10 mph. This positioning stems from a recent break in multi-day storms that brought heavy rain through April 13, allowing a warming trend amid high pressure building aloft and model consensus (GFS, ECMWF) projecting mid-80s peaks after morning patchy drizzle clears. April climatology supports this, with mid-month normals near 79°F, but realistic challenges include isolated thunderstorms—forecast at 40% chance post-1 p.m.—or prolonged cloud cover potentially capping temperatures at 78-79°F. Final NWS updates and Camp Mabry observations will refine resolution tomorrow.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Austin on April 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 15?
80°F or higher 92%
78-79°F 5.8%
76-77°F 2.1%
72-73°F <1%
$25,374 Объем
$25,374 Объем
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
6%
80°F or higher
92%
80°F or higher 92%
78-79°F 5.8%
76-77°F 2.1%
72-73°F <1%
$25,374 Объем
$25,374 Объем
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
6%
80°F or higher
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 13, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an Austin high of 80°F or higher at 91.5%, aligning with the National Weather Service's latest forecast of 84°F on April 15 under persistent warm, humid conditions with south winds around 5-10 mph. This positioning stems from a recent break in multi-day storms that brought heavy rain through April 13, allowing a warming trend amid high pressure building aloft and model consensus (GFS, ECMWF) projecting mid-80s peaks after morning patchy drizzle clears. April climatology supports this, with mid-month normals near 79°F, but realistic challenges include isolated thunderstorms—forecast at 40% chance post-1 p.m.—or prolonged cloud cover potentially capping temperatures at 78-79°F. Final NWS updates and Camp Mabry observations will refine resolution tomorrow.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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